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2011-02-09

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Tigers UCF Knights Spread Result
Elo 34.3% 65.7% -
Bradley-Terry 51.2% 48.8% -
Margin 54.8% 45.2% -1.1 (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 44.3% 55.7% -
Efficiency 67.8% 32.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.5% 39.5% -
Log Adjusted 58.7% 41.3% -

Actual: UCF Knights -1 (62-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Barton * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 5 0 1 4 15 24 -
C. Carmouche * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 4 1 1 1 8 19 -
T. Black * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 5 2 11 17 -
J. Jackson * 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 -
D. Barham * 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Barton 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 14 18 -
W. Coleman 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 10 16 -
C. Crawford 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 2 1 5 13 -
D. Stephens 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 0 3 -

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Jordan * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 0 0 4 12 16 -
K. Clanton * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 1 9 17 -
I. Sosa * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 14 16 -
P.J. Gaynor * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 1 1 0 7 16 -
T. Herzog * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 7 9 -
A.J. Tyler 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 9 14 -
A.J. Rompza 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 4 7 -
I. Sykes 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 0 0 6 -

* = starter