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2011-03-23

Model Predictions

Model UCF Knights Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 46.9% 53.1% -
Bradley-Terry 24.3% 75.7% -
Margin 14.4% 85.6% +9.8 (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 39.8% 60.2% -
Efficiency 43.0% 57.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.5% 72.5% -
Log Adjusted 28.7% 71.3% -

Actual: Creighton Bluejays +18 (82-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Jordan 36 4-9 0-3 1-4 2 2 2 0 4 9 2 -
K. Clanton 34 9-12 1-2 7-8 2 0 1 1 4 26 14 -
I. Sykes 33 5-6 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 0 2 12 10 -
A.J. Rompza 28 2-6 0-2 8-11 1 5 3 0 3 12 12 -
D. McCombs 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
I. Sosa 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
T. Herzog 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 2 2 0 3 -
A.J. Tyler 11 0-5 0-5 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 -3 -
P.J. Gaynor 8 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 3 0 -
T. Young 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Diakite 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
J. Davis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Kuzucan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Manigat 35 0-3 0-3 1-2 4 5 2 0 1 1 8 -
A. Young 30 6-9 2-3 2-2 1 10 1 0 0 16 19 -
D. McDermott 26 7-10 2-3 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 16 12 -
G. Echenique 23 5-7 0-0 9-10 5 1 1 2 1 19 20 -
J. Jones 20 4-6 2-3 1-3 2 0 2 0 1 11 8 -
K. Korver 17 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -2 -
K. Lawson Jr. 14 4-8 1-2 2-2 5 1 0 0 2 11 7 -
W. Runnels 11 4-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 8 7 -
D. Ashford 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 2 -
T. Stormberg 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
R. Ferrarini 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Sebastian 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
M. Dorwart 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter