Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.2% | 61.8% | +2.6 | ✓ (13.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers +16 (77-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Clanton * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 22 | - |
| Marcus Jordan * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Dave Diakite * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Tom Herzog * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Taylor Young * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| A.J. Rompza | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A.J. Tyler | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| P.J. Gaynor | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Isaiah Sykes | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dwight McCombs | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Jarvis Davis | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Isaac Sosa | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Barham * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 20 | - |
| Joe Jackson * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Will Barton * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 23 | - |
| Tarik Black * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Charles Carmouche * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Chris Crawford | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Will Coleman | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Antonio Barton | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| D.J. Stephens | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter