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SMU Mustangs 48
@
UCF Knights 51
2011-03-02

Model Predictions

Model SMU Mustangs UCF Knights Spread Result
Elo 27.8% 72.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 40.2% 59.8% - ✓
Margin 44.7% 55.3% +1.2 ✓ (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 45.7% 54.3% - ✓
Efficiency 1.4% 98.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 33.0% 67.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 31.1% 68.9% - ✓

Actual: UCF Knights +3 (51-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Dia * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 1 4 18 26 -
C. Mangrum * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 2 0 2 6 13 -
J. Samarrippas * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 5 2 2 -
M. Walker * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 10 14 -
R. Nyakundi * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 2 2 -
R. Harp 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 2 8 -
Player #51293 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 6 6 -
J. Haynes 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 3 2 4 -
R. Clinkscales 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 4 -

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Jordan * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 3 0 3 8 12 -
K. Clanton * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 6 10 -
T. Herzog * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 3 2 0 0 7 -
A.J. Tyler * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 2 0 8 17 -
T. Young * 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
I. Sosa 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 17 20 -
A.J. Rompza 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 2 0 4 10 13 -
P.J. Gaynor 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 4 2 4 -
D. McCombs 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter