Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Houston Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.3% | 89.7% | +11.9 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.4% | 13.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Cougars +5 (76-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Jordan | 36 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| K. Clanton | 35 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 11-14 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 16 | - |
| A.J. Rompza | 35 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| I. Sosa | 18 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -3 | - |
| D. Diakite | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| D. McCombs | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| T. Herzog | 12 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| P.J. Gaynor | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| I. Sykes | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A.J. Tyler | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Young | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Nixon | 38 | 8-15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| D. Thibodeaux | 33 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| M. McNeil | 31 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| A. Brown | 29 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| A. Harris | 26 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 9-10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| N. Haywood | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Van Slyke | 16 | 7-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| M. McLean | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter