๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

TCU

Also known as: TCU Horned Frogs, TCU
Program History

2011 Team Stats (7 games)

60.3
PPG
71.0
Opp
-10.7
Margin
40.5%
FG%
37.0%
3P%
63.7%
FT%
30.0
RPG
14.9
APG
11.9
TO
-
Est. poss./game
67.1
Adj PPG
66.6
Adj Opp PPG
#157
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2010-2011
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 956 (#191) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 927 (#222) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +91 elo More โ†’ 884 (#315) HCA +91 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +0.9 (#156) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -0.2 (#171) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.387 (#226) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +1.3 More โ†’ 0.538 (#152) AdjNet +1.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +1.3 More โ†’ 0.539 (#152) AdjNet +1.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.1 | AdjD 66.6 More โ†’ 0.512 (#157) AdjO 67.1 | AdjD 66.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.5 | AdjD 65.7 More โ†’ 0.450 (#223) AdjO 63.5 | AdjD 65.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.446 (#190) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.434 (#208) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 136 | GP 32 More โ†’ 933 (#218) RD 136 | GP 32

2011 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2010-11-12 vs Jackson State Tigers W 86 - 62
2010-11-16 vs SMU Mustangs W 84 - 64
2010-11-20 vs Rider Broncs L 61 - 76
2010-11-21 @ Bradley Braves W 74 - 68
2010-11-22 vs UMass Minutemen L 48 - 67
2010-11-27 vs Houston Cougars W 79 - 63
2010-11-29 vs USC Trojans W 81 - 69
2010-12-01 vs Prairie View A&M Panthers W 78 - 61
2010-12-04 vs Northern Iowa Panthers L 60 - 64
2010-12-08 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders W 81 - 77
2010-12-11 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers L 56 - 70
2010-12-21 vs Northwestern State Demons W 96 - 79
2010-12-28 vs Chicago State Cougars W 99 - 72
2010-12-30 @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane L 66 - 69
2011-01-02 @ Rice Owls L 61 - 70
2011-01-05 vs San Diego State Aztecs L 53 - 66
2011-01-08 @ UNLV Rebels L 49 - 83
2011-01-12 vs Wyoming Cowboys W 78 - 60
2011-01-15 @ Colorado State Rams L 69 - 79
2011-01-18 @ BYU Cougars L 67 - 83
2011-01-22 vs Utah Utes L 62 - 75
2011-01-26 @ New Mexico Lobos L 46 - 71
2011-01-29 vs Air Force Falcons L 65 - 66
2011-02-05 @ San Diego State Aztecs L 53 - 60
2011-02-09 vs UNLV Rebels L 79 - 94
2011-02-16 vs Colorado State Rams L 55 - 69
2011-02-19 vs BYU Cougars L 56 - 79
2011-02-22 @ Utah Utes L 48 - 50
2011-02-26 vs New Mexico Lobos L 70 - 80
2011-03-02 @ Air Force Falcons L 65 - 70
2011-03-09 @ Wyoming Cowboys W 70 - 61
2011-03-10 @ BYU Cougars L 58 - 64

2011 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ronnie Moss Ronnie Moss G 7 31.0 17.0 5.0 2.4 1.0 0.3 3.7 7.4 14.6 31 19 1.6 2.3 46.2 42.9 88.9 2.25 106.3 54.8
Hank Thorns Hank Thorns G 18 36.9 11.8 4.0 8.4 0.9 0.1 2.6 6.4 16.2 -114 31 -3.7 -4.8 31.9 27.9 63.2 -1.65 85.2 37.1
Garlon Green Garlon Green G 18 30.6 10.4 4.8 0.9 0.5 0.5 1.4 4.0 11.8 -57 32 -1.8 -2.7 43.1 51.5 77.8 0.36 123.7 54.9
Greg Hill Greg Hill G 18 24.8 8.9 2.3 1.3 0.7 0.1 1.1 3.7 8.4 -79 28 -2.8 -6.2 36.4 41.9 83.3 -1.39 108.9 50.0
Nikola Cerina Nikola Cerina F 18 24.9 7.6 5.2 0.4 1.3 0.4 1.6 2.6 10.8 14 32 0.4 1.0 44.7 0.0 55.0 2.79 122.8 44.7
J.R. Cadot J.R. Cadot G 17 25.9 7.4 5.7 1.2 0.9 0.4 1.2 3.1 11.3 -10 31 -0.3 -0.6 60.4 50.0 61.1 0.66 102.6 62.3
Amric Fields Amric Fields F 18 22.3 6.6 2.7 0.5 0.4 0.5 1.3 2.6 6.9 -97 32 -3.0 -7.1 34.8 15.4 57.1 -2.76 114.1 37.0
Sammy Yeager Sammy Yeager F 2 19.0 4.0 1.5 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.5 5.0 44 15 2.9 6.0 42.9 50.0 0 1.69 57.1 57.1
Nikola Gacesa Nikola Gacesa F 15 16.7 2.9 2.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.4 -90 29 -3.1 -7.0 29.6 33.3 40.0 -3.7 75.3 35.2
Jarvis Ray Jarvis Ray G 16 8.4 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.6 0.4 1.8 -15 26 -0.6 -2.9 14.3 0.0 33.3 0.06 90.1 14.3
Cheick Kone Cheick Kone C 5 2.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 - - - - 0.0 0 50.0 -1.47 26.6 0.0
Marin Bavcevic Marin Bavcevic G 4 4.5 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.5 0.0 -0.5 - - - - 0 0 0 -2.36 0 0
Zach Huie Zach Huie F 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Thomas Montigel Thomas Montigel G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Zack Price Zack Price G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG