Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | TCU Horned Frogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.2% | 38.8% | -2.5 | ✓ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.4% | 3.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.8% | 6.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.8% | 6.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: TCU Horned Frogs -13 (53-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Gay | 40 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. Tapley | 31 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| M. Thomas | 31 | 8-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 23 | - |
| B. White | 28 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| K. Leonard | 25 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | - |
| J. Rahon | 20 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| T. Shelton | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Franklin | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Cheriet | 3 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
TCU Horned Frogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Green | 33 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| R. Moss | 33 | 5-15 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | -3 | - |
| H. Thorns | 33 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| J.R. Cadot | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| N. Cerina | 26 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| S. Yeager | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Gacesa | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| G. Hill | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| A. Fields | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter