Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | TCU Horned Frogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.1% | 7.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 93.5% | 6.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 92.1% | 7.9% | -13.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.7% | 5.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.7% | 5.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: TCU Horned Frogs -13 (53-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Gay | 40 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. Tapley | 31 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| M. Thomas | 31 | 8-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 23 | - |
| B. White | 28 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| K. Leonard | 25 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | - |
| J. Rahon | 20 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| T. Shelton | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Franklin | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Cheriet | 3 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
TCU Horned Frogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garlon Green | 33 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Ronnie Moss | 33 | 5-15 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | -3 | - |
| Hank Thorns | 33 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| J.R. Cadot | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Nikola Cerina | 26 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Sammy Yeager | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nikola Gacesa | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Greg Hill | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Amric Fields | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter