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TCU Horned Frogs 53
@
San Diego State Aztecs 60
2011-02-05

Model Predictions

Model TCU Horned Frogs San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 11.1% 88.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 47.1% 52.9% - ✓
Margin 16.9% 83.1% +8.8 ✓ (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 23.8% 76.2% - ✓
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - ✓

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +7 (60-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Thorns * 40 6-21 2-7 2-3 4 8 0 1 2 16 6 -
G. Green * 38 3-6 1-3 1-2 4 1 0 1 0 8 8 -
A. Fields * 34 2-9 0-1 2-2 4 1 0 2 1 6 3 -
G. Hill * 32 5-9 2-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 12 2 -
N. Cerina * 15 2-4 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
N. Gacesa 27 2-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
J. Ray 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 2 6 -
C. Kone 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Gay * 40 4-11 0-3 1-2 2 6 1 0 0 9 7 -
K. Leonard * 35 5-13 0-0 1-2 10 2 1 1 2 11 10 -
M. Thomas * 35 4-9 0-0 3-6 14 1 0 1 3 11 15 -
B. White * 33 5-7 0-0 9-10 4 1 0 0 1 19 16 -
C. Tapley * 5 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
J. Rahon 33 1-5 1-3 4-4 2 0 1 0 1 7 4 -
B. Carlwell 9 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Franklin 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
M. Cheriet 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Shelton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter