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2011-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons TCU Horned Frogs Spread Result
Elo 5.4% 94.6% -
Bradley-Terry 10.5% 89.5% -
Margin 10.5% 89.5% +11.8 (12.8 off)
Pythagorean 48.6% 51.4% -
Efficiency 11.5% 88.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.6% 48.4% -
Log Adjusted 51.7% 48.3% -

Actual: TCU Horned Frogs -1 (65-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Lyons * 41 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 0 4 15 20 -
E. Washington * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 1 0 0 7 15 -
T. Broekhuis * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 -
T. Fletcher * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 1 0 1 3 11 -
T. Fow * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 11 12 -
D. Brooks 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 0 2 18 23 -
T. Stewart 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 4 8 -
Z. Bohannon 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 5 8 -
M. Fitzgerald 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
S. Hempsey 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Thorns * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 10 0 1 4 9 21 -
G. Hill * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 1 0 3 9 16 -
A. Fields * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 4 10 14 -
N. Cerina * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 9 13 -
J.R. Cadot * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 8 11 -
G. Green 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 1 0 16 27 -
N. Gacesa 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
J. Ray 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
M. Bavcevic 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter