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2011-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons TCU Horned Frogs Spread Result
Elo 48.3% 51.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 58.4% 41.6% - โœ“
Margin 44.0% 56.0% +1.3 โœ— (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 51.6% 48.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 57.6% 42.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 57.7% 42.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 47.1% 52.9% - โœ—

Actual: TCU Horned Frogs -1 (65-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Michael Lyons * 41 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 0 4 15 20 -
Evan Washington * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 1 0 0 7 15 -
Taylor Broekhuis * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 -
Todd Fletcher * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 1 0 1 3 11 -
Tom Fow * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 11 12 -
Derek Brooks 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 0 2 18 23 -
Taylor Stewart 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 4 8 -
Zach Bohannon 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 5 8 -
Mike Fitzgerald 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Shawn Hempsey 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Hank Thorns * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 10 0 1 4 9 21 -
Greg Hill * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 1 0 3 9 16 -
Amric Fields * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 4 10 14 -
Nikola Cerina * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 9 13 -
J.R. Cadot * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 8 11 -
Garlon Green 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 1 0 16 27 -
Nikola Gacesa 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Jarvis Ray 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
Marin Bavcevic 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter