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2011-03-02

Model Predictions

Model TCU Horned Frogs Air Force Falcons Spread Result
Elo 89.8% 10.2% -
Bradley-Terry 82.8% 17.2% -
Margin 73.3% 26.7% -5.6 (10.6 off)
Pythagorean 45.4% 54.6% -
Efficiency 82.5% 17.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.4% 57.6% -
Log Adjusted 42.3% 57.7% -

Actual: Air Force Falcons +5 (70-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Thorns * 40 5-14 2-7 0-0 3 11 2 0 5 12 9 -
J.R. Cadot * 35 5-8 2-2 0-1 7 1 0 0 1 12 11 -
N. Cerina * 33 1-3 0-0 4-6 8 1 1 1 4 6 10 -
G. Green * 32 3-8 3-4 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 9 5 -
J. Ray * 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 0 0 -
G. Hill 31 8-16 6-12 1-1 4 0 1 0 0 23 12 -
A. Fields 17 1-4 1-3 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 3 5 -

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Lyons * 36 7-13 2-5 4-4 3 1 0 0 1 20 10 -
E. Washington * 35 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 5 1 1 1 4 8 -
T. Fletcher * 32 2-5 1-2 0-0 3 6 1 0 1 5 9 -
D. Brooks * 26 4-7 2-3 0-0 2 2 2 1 2 10 8 -
T. Fow * 19 3-7 3-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 9 6 -
T. Broekhuis 22 1-1 0-0 5-6 2 2 3 0 1 7 12 -
Z. Bohannon 13 2-3 1-2 0-0 4 2 0 1 1 5 8 -
T. Stewart 12 3-6 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 0 0 7 6 -
M. Fitzgerald 5 0-2 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1 -

* = starter