🐻⬇️🏀

New Mexico Lobos 80
@
TCU Horned Frogs 70
2011-02-26

Model Predictions

Model New Mexico Lobos TCU Horned Frogs Spread Result
Elo 70.1% 29.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 35.1% 64.9% - ✗
Margin 47.2% 52.8% +0.6 ✗ (10.6 off)
Pythagorean 63.9% 36.1% - ✓
Efficiency 91.1% 8.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 81.8% 18.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 81.8% 18.2% - ✓

Actual: TCU Horned Frogs -10 (70-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Mexico Lobos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Gary * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 9 1 0 3 32 42 -
P. McDonald * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 12 16 -
A.J. Hardeman * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 1 1 3 14 23 -
K. Williams * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 8 9 -
D. Gordon * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 0 0 0 0 8 19 -
J. Fenton 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 1 0 1 2 9 -
T. Snell 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
A. Kirk 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 4 -
C. Adams 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
C. Bairstow 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Thorns * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 12 0 0 2 11 24 -
G. Hill * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 10 14 -
G. Green * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 10 13 -
J.R. Cadot * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 3 0 1 1 9 -
N. Gacesa * 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
N. Cerina 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 2 0 3 17 25 -
A. Fields 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 2 17 21 -
J. Ray 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 6 -

* = starter