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TCU

Also known as: TCU Horned Frogs, TCU
Program History

2011 Team Stats (7 games)

60.3
PPG
71.0
Opp
-10.7
Margin
40.5%
FG%
37.0%
3P%
63.7%
FT%
30.0
RPG
14.9
APG
11.9
TO
-
Est. poss./game
67.1
Adj PPG
66.6
Adj Opp PPG
#157
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2010-2011
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 956 (#191) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 927 (#222) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +91 elo More โ†’ 884 (#315) HCA +91 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +0.9 (#156) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -0.2 (#171) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.387 (#226) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +1.3 More โ†’ 0.538 (#152) AdjNet +1.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +1.3 More โ†’ 0.539 (#152) AdjNet +1.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.1 | AdjD 66.6 More โ†’ 0.512 (#157) AdjO 67.1 | AdjD 66.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.5 | AdjD 65.7 More โ†’ 0.450 (#223) AdjO 63.5 | AdjD 65.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.446 (#190) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.434 (#208) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 136 | GP 32 More โ†’ 933 (#218) RD 136 | GP 32

2011 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2010-11-12 vs Jackson State Tigers W 86 - 62
2010-11-16 vs SMU Mustangs W 84 - 64
2010-11-20 vs Rider Broncs L 61 - 76
2010-11-21 @ Bradley Braves W 74 - 68
2010-11-22 vs UMass Minutemen L 48 - 67
2010-11-27 vs Houston Cougars W 79 - 63
2010-11-29 vs USC Trojans W 81 - 69
2010-12-01 vs Prairie View A&M Panthers W 78 - 61
2010-12-04 vs Northern Iowa Panthers L 60 - 64
2010-12-08 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders W 81 - 77
2010-12-11 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers L 56 - 70
2010-12-21 vs Northwestern State Demons W 96 - 79
2010-12-28 vs Chicago State Cougars W 99 - 72
2010-12-30 @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane L 66 - 69
2011-01-02 @ Rice Owls L 61 - 70
2011-01-05 vs San Diego State Aztecs L 53 - 66
2011-01-08 @ UNLV Rebels L 49 - 83
2011-01-12 vs Wyoming Cowboys W 78 - 60
2011-01-15 @ Colorado State Rams L 69 - 79
2011-01-18 @ BYU Cougars L 67 - 83
2011-01-22 vs Utah Utes L 62 - 75
2011-01-26 @ New Mexico Lobos L 46 - 71
2011-01-29 vs Air Force Falcons L 65 - 66
2011-02-05 @ San Diego State Aztecs L 53 - 60
2011-02-09 vs UNLV Rebels L 79 - 94
2011-02-16 vs Colorado State Rams L 55 - 69
2011-02-19 vs BYU Cougars L 56 - 79
2011-02-22 @ Utah Utes L 48 - 50
2011-02-26 vs New Mexico Lobos L 70 - 80
2011-03-02 @ Air Force Falcons L 65 - 70
2011-03-09 @ Wyoming Cowboys W 70 - 61
2011-03-10 @ BYU Cougars L 58 - 64

2011 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ronnie Moss Ronnie Moss G 7 31.0 17.0 5.0 2.4 1.0 0.3 3.7 7.4 14.6 31 19 1.6 2.3 46.2 42.9 88.9 2.25 106.3 54.8
Hank Thorns Hank Thorns G 18 36.9 11.8 4.0 8.4 0.9 0.1 2.6 6.4 16.2 -114 31 -3.7 -4.8 31.9 27.9 63.2 -1.65 85.2 37.1
Garlon Green Garlon Green G 18 30.6 10.4 4.8 0.9 0.5 0.5 1.4 4.0 11.8 -57 32 -1.8 -2.7 43.1 51.5 77.8 0.36 123.7 54.9
Greg Hill Greg Hill G 18 24.8 8.9 2.3 1.3 0.7 0.1 1.1 3.7 8.4 -79 28 -2.8 -6.2 36.4 41.9 83.3 -1.39 108.9 50.0
Nikola Cerina Nikola Cerina F 18 24.9 7.6 5.2 0.4 1.3 0.4 1.6 2.6 10.8 14 32 0.4 1.0 44.7 0.0 55.0 2.79 122.8 44.7
J.R. Cadot J.R. Cadot G 17 25.9 7.4 5.7 1.2 0.9 0.4 1.2 3.1 11.3 -10 31 -0.3 -0.6 60.4 50.0 61.1 0.66 102.6 62.3
Amric Fields Amric Fields F 18 22.3 6.6 2.7 0.5 0.4 0.5 1.3 2.6 6.9 -97 32 -3.0 -7.1 34.8 15.4 57.1 -2.76 114.1 37.0
Sammy Yeager Sammy Yeager F 2 19.0 4.0 1.5 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.5 5.0 44 15 2.9 6.0 42.9 50.0 0 1.69 57.1 57.1
Nikola Gacesa Nikola Gacesa F 15 16.7 2.9 2.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.4 -90 29 -3.1 -7.0 29.6 33.3 40.0 -3.7 75.3 35.2
Jarvis Ray Jarvis Ray G 16 8.4 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.6 0.4 1.8 -15 26 -0.6 -2.9 14.3 0.0 33.3 0.06 90.1 14.3
Cheick Kone Cheick Kone C 5 2.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 - - - - 0.0 0 50.0 -1.47 26.6 0.0
Marin Bavcevic Marin Bavcevic G 4 4.5 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.5 0.0 -0.5 - - - - 0 0 0 -2.36 0 0
Zach Huie Zach Huie F 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Thomas Montigel Thomas Montigel G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Zack Price Zack Price G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG