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Samford

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Samford Bulldogs
Program History
Coach: Bucky McMillan

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1064 (#227) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1277 (#113) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 1076 (#84) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +24.0 (#157) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → +12.3 (#165) HCA +2.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 69.7 More → 0.562 (#168) AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 69.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.754 (#154) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.730 (#149) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 145 | GP 28 More → 1175 (#89) RD 145 | GP 28

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 vs Maryville College (TN) Fighting Scots W 99 - 78
2021-11-11 vs Spring Hill Badgers W 86 - 69
2021-11-15 @ San Francisco Dons L 55 - 77
2021-11-26 @ North Carolina A&T Aggies W 77 - 75
2021-11-27 vs McNeese Cowboys W 83 - 75
2021-11-30 vs Mississippi College Choctaws W 83 - 58
2021-12-05 vs Belmont Bruins L 73 - 85
2021-12-08 @ Alabama State Hornets W 74 - 64
2021-12-11 vs Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 52 - 50
2021-12-18 vs Kennesaw State Owls W 85 - 84
2021-12-21 @ Ole Miss Rebels W 75 - 73
2022-01-12 @ Wofford Terriers L 64 - 87
2022-01-15 vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 85 - 88
2022-01-20 @ VMI Keydets L 80 - 99
2022-01-22 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans L 58 - 61
2022-01-26 vs Mercer Bears W 75 - 61
2022-01-29 @ Western Carolina Catamounts W 74 - 64
2022-02-02 vs Chattanooga Mocs W 80 - 72
2022-02-05 @ The Citadel Bulldogs L 93 - 107
2022-02-09 vs Wofford Terriers W 65 - 60
2022-02-12 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers W 77 - 73
2022-02-17 vs VMI Keydets W 100 - 99
2022-02-19 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans W 55 - 49
2022-02-21 vs The Citadel Bulldogs W 76 - 74
2022-02-23 vs Furman Paladins W 83 - 75
2022-02-26 @ Chattanooga Mocs L 57 - 70
2022-03-05 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans W 66 - 64
2022-03-06 @ Furman Paladins L 68 - 71

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ques Glover Ques Glover - 5 32.8 20.8 2.0 4.4 0.8 0.0 4.6 2.8 20.6 120 4.1 5.5 50.0 66.7 70.0 1.85 282.6 57.1
Jermaine Marshall Jermaine Marshall - 25 26.8 12.9 8.4 0.9 1.0 0.2 2.0 2.0 19.4 - - - 47.1 43.5 64.7 1.04 276.2 56.9
L. Dye L. Dye - 19 27.5 12.8 5.5 1.2 0.8 1.0 2.2 1.9 17.3 -12 -0.5 -0.8 54.1 45.5 60.0 0.07 311.2 60.8
A. Hunter A. Hunter G 2 34.0 12.5 2.0 2.5 1.5 0.0 1.0 5.0 12.5 307 9.0 11.5 30.0 25.0 50.0 1.63 114.9 40.0
Garrett Hicks Garrett Hicks - 1 38.0 12.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 17.0 -126 -4.5 -5.5 0 0 0 -0.4 0 0
Jaden Campbell Jaden Campbell - 28 26.8 10.1 3.4 1.4 1.4 0.4 1.6 1.3 13.9 153 4.2 7.8 52.8 45.5 77.8 0.01 355.4 66.7
D. Beatty D. Beatty G 1 29.0 8.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 10.0 -58 -1.9 -3.1 0 0 0 0.07 0 0
C. Garrison C. Garrison G 2 31.5 7.5 2.5 1.5 3.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 9.5 288 8.7 11.3 30.0 22.2 100.0 1.48 68.9 40.0
C. Kaifes C. Kaifes G 5 29.4 6.6 4.0 1.0 0.4 0.2 1.2 0.8 10.2 55 1.8 2.9 25.0 25.0 0 0.83 412.5 37.5
D. Buckingham D. Buckingham G 2 28.0 6.5 2.5 0.0 1.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 10.0 7 0.2 0.3 0 0 0 0.61 0 0
J. Tryon J. Tryon C 13 18.3 5.8 3.2 1.1 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.9 10.2 -9 -0.3 -0.6 58.3 50.0 75.0 0.0 276.2 70.8
A.J. Staton-McCray A.J. Staton-McCray G 2 18.0 4.5 3.5 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 9.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.17 0 0
Jaron Rillie Jaron Rillie - 5 12.6 3.2 1.4 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.8 0.2 3.6 -27 -0.8 -1.9 0.0 0.0 0 -0.42 800.0 0.0
Q. Richey Q. Richey - 24 7.5 2.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 3.2 0 0.0 0.0 66.7 66.7 100.0 0.02 959.3 100.0
C. Morrison C. Morrison - 2 1.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 150.0 0.0
Grayson Walters Grayson Walters F 2 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
D. Lobach D. Lobach - 17 5.6 0.9 0.9 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.0 1.9 -32 -1.6 -12.3 0 0 25.0 -0.81 426.1 0
M. Vail M. Vail - 1 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 15 0.9 5.5 0 0 0 0.17 0 0
O. LaRocca O. LaRocca - 2 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
R. Maitre R. Maitre G 5 9.2 0.0 1.2 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 -81 -2.7 -12.8 0 0 0.0 -1.11 0.0 0
J. White J. White F 2 9.0 0.0 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.5 -44 -2.4 -12.9 0 0 0 0.06 0 0
C. Holmes C. Holmes - 2 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG