Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | The Citadel Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.0% | 44.0% | -1.3 | ✗ (15.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: The Citadel Bulldogs +14 (107-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ques Glover * | 33 | 13-18 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 18 | - |
| Wesley Cardet * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Logan Dye * | 27 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Cooper Kaifes * | 27 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jermaine Marshall * | 23 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Jaden Campbell | 26 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Jaron Rillie | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Richardson Maitre | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jacob Tryon | 9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Quinn Richey | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Marcellus Vail | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Angel Smith | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Daniel Lobach | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Roche * | 39 | 10-17 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 15 | - |
| Hayden Brown * | 38 | 13-18 | 3-6 | 6-8 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 35 | 32 | - |
| Tyler Moffe * | 29 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Stephen Clark * | 28 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| David Maynard * | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Rudy Fitzgibbons | 32 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Brent Davis | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Jackson Price | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Owen Spencer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter