Model Predictions
| Model | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.6% | 81.4% | +8.8 | ✗ (11.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.4% | 59.6% | +2.1 | ✗ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs -3 (85-88). Ratings: 2021-22 season-end ratings.
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Brewer * | 35 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Jordan King * | 33 | 6-12 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| David Sloan * | 32 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Ledarrius Brewer * | 29 | 5-10 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Jaden Seymour * | 19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Charlie Weber | 20 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Mohab Yasser | 18 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Vonnie Patterson | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Campbell * | 33 | 6-8 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Ques Glover * | 32 | 4-15 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Cooper Kaifes * | 31 | 4-12 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Wesley Cardet, Jr. * | 30 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Logan Dye * | 30 | 10-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Jaron Rillie | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Quinn Richey | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jacob Tryon | 10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Daniel Lobach | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Marcellus Vail | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter