Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.4% | 23.6% | -6.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.7% | 16.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.3% | 15.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets -10 (64-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaron Rillie * | 35 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Wesley Cardet * | 30 | 11-19 | 1-3 | 4-7 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Cooper Kaifes * | 28 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jermaine Marshall * | 25 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 8-11 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Jacob Tryon * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jaden Campbell | 29 | 5-15 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Quinn Richey | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Daniel Lobach | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Marcellus Vail | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Richardson Maitre | 6 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Reyna * | 28 | 3-12 | 2-11 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Kenny Strawbridge * | 26 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Gerald Liddell * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Jordan O'Neal * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Trace Young * | 14 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Isaiah Range | 30 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| E.J. Clark | 25 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Jayme Mitchell | 17 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Kevion Stewart | 10 | 0-7 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -7 | - |
| DJ Jackson | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Michael Barber | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter