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Providence

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Providence Friars, Providence
Program History
Coach: Tim Welsh

2005 Team Stats (9 games)

70.4
PPG
82.6
Opp
-12.1
Margin
40.9%
FG%
30.8%
3P%
71.8%
FT%
32.9
RPG
14.8
APG
14.1
TO
-
Est. poss./game
75.8
Adj PPG
67.6
Adj Opp PPG
#55
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2004-2005
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1081 (#100) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1060 (#119) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +110 elo More → 982 (#197) HCA +110 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.7 More → +9.2 (#54) HCA +3.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.5 More → +8.5 (#59) HCA +3.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.545 (#131) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +14.6 More → 0.843 (#50) AdjNet +14.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +14.8 More → 0.846 (#50) AdjNet +14.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.8 | AdjD 67.6 More → 0.679 (#55) AdjO 75.8 | AdjD 67.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.1 | AdjD 69.3 More → 0.587 (#81) AdjO 73.1 | AdjD 69.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.689 (#68) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.671 (#75) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 135 | GP 30 More → 1089 (#100) RD 135 | GP 30

2005 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2004-11-16 vs Niagara Purple Eagles W 83 - 78
2004-11-18 vs Pennsylvania Quakers W 89 - 52
2004-11-20 vs St. Thomas Aquinas Spartans W 79 - 48
2004-11-24 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 67 - 79
2004-11-26 @ Michigan Wolverines W 72 - 63
2004-11-27 @ Florida Gators L 66 - 84
2004-11-30 vs Winthrop Eagles L 54 - 60
2004-12-04 vs Rhode Island Rams W 65 - 58
2004-12-11 vs Wichita State Shockers L 86 - 90
2004-12-21 vs Maine Black Bears W 104 - 74
2004-12-23 @ Memphis Tigers W 72 - 59
2004-12-31 @ San Diego State Aztecs W 76 - 67
2005-01-03 vs Brown Bears W 79 - 63
2005-01-08 @ Boston College Eagles L 60 - 69
2005-01-11 vs Villanova Wildcats L 78 - 83
2005-01-15 vs Syracuse Orange L 71 - 75
2005-01-19 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights L 67 - 72
2005-01-26 vs Boston College Eagles L 75 - 78
2005-01-29 vs West Virginia Mountaineers L 78 - 82
2005-01-31 @ Pittsburgh Panthers L 66 - 86
2005-02-02 vs Virginia Cavaliers W 98 - 79
2005-02-05 @ Villanova Wildcats L 81 - 89
2005-02-09 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 65 - 67
2005-02-13 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 81 - 64
2005-02-15 vs UConn Huskies L 89 - 94
2005-02-19 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 61 - 62
2005-02-23 @ Seton Hall Pirates W 67 - 54
2005-02-26 @ Syracuse Orange L 66 - 91
2005-03-01 vs St. John's Red Storm W 86 - 75
2005-03-05 @ Georgetown Hoyas W 68 - 65
2005-03-09 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 59 - 82

2005 Roster

No roster data available for this season.