Model Predictions
| Model | Providence Friars | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.0% | 67.0% | +3.9 | ✗ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.4% | 15.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -9 (67-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Gomes * | 36 | 6-11 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 17 | - |
| D. Brewington * | 34 | 1-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. McGrath * | 34 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| T. Kotti * | 30 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| H. Hill * | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| R. Hanke | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| G. Brown | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. White | 14 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| C. Burch | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Parmer | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. McKiver | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. LeSure * | 38 | 9-20 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 15 | - |
| C. Walton * | 33 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | - |
| M. Slaughter * | 31 | 6-19 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| M. Camara * | 28 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 16 | - |
| T. Smith * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Thomas | 21 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| J. Sharper | 19 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| B. Hudson | 11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| C. Manker | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Johnson | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter