Model Predictions
| Model | UConn Huskies | Providence Friars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 93.6% | 6.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.2% | 15.8% | -9.2 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.2% | 3.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Providence Friars -5 (89-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Williams * | 47 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| D. Brown * | 47 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| R. Gay * | 37 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| J. Boone * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| C. Villanueva * | 32 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 18 | - |
| M. Mulchrone | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| A. Kellogg | 13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| R. Thompson | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| E. Nelson | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. McGrath * | 50 | 3-10 | 3-9 | 6-7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| R. Gomes * | 48 | 12-29 | 4-10 | 9-12 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 37 | 17 | - |
| T. Kotti * | 48 | 7-17 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| H. Hill * | 40 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 20 | - |
| J. Parmer * | 34 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | - |
| D. White | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | - |
| C. Burch | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. Hanke | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Cross | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter