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2004-12-23

Model Predictions

Model Providence Friars Memphis Tigers Spread Result
Elo 19.5% 80.5% -
Bradley-Terry 31.3% 68.7% -
Margin 23.0% 77.0% +6.6 (19.6 off)
Pythagorean 34.2% 65.8% -
Efficiency 4.8% 95.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.6% 81.4% -
Log Adjusted 18.5% 81.5% -

Actual: Memphis Tigers -13 (59-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Providence Friars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. McGrath * 38 5-9 4-7 0-0 4 6 1 0 2 14 14 -
T. Kotti * 34 2-10 0-0 4-4 5 3 1 0 4 8 3 -
R. Gomes * 34 9-18 3-6 3-3 8 2 0 0 2 24 14 -
D. Brewington * 32 6-13 3-7 0-2 4 1 2 0 3 15 6 -
H. Hill * 19 2-4 0-0 0-1 4 1 1 1 1 4 6 -
G. Brown 19 2-8 0-2 1-2 3 2 2 0 2 5 2 -
R. Hanke 19 1-1 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 9 0 2 17 -
D. White 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
R. McKiver 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
C. Burch 1 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Walker * 38 5-18 1-6 6-9 9 1 0 1 0 17 10 -
A. Rice * 35 2-8 1-4 1-2 3 4 1 0 3 6 3 -
D. Washington Jr. * 35 2-13 0-4 4-8 4 2 4 0 4 8 1 -
D. Erwin * 22 2-5 0-0 0-0 7 3 3 1 4 4 9 -
J. Dorsey * 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
R. Carney 29 7-12 4-8 4-5 7 0 2 2 1 22 20 -
S. Njoya 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 2 0 0 6 -
Arthur Barclay 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
T. Beavers 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter