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2005-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish Providence Friars Spread Result
Elo 35.1% 64.9% -
Bradley-Terry 68.2% 31.8% -
Margin 72.0% 28.0% -5.2 (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 56.9% 43.1% -
Efficiency 91.0% 9.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.1% 50.9% -
Log Adjusted 49.2% 50.8% -

Actual: Providence Friars -1 (61-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Thomas * 40 4-15 2-6 0-2 6 8 2 0 3 10 8 -
C. Quinn * 40 6-13 5-8 0-0 5 4 0 0 3 17 10 -
C. Falls * 36 3-12 3-11 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 9 2 -
J. Cornette * 34 1-4 1-3 2-2 6 1 1 3 0 5 12 -
T. Francis * 8 0-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
R. Cornett 27 5-9 0-0 4-9 14 1 0 0 0 14 20 -
D. Latimore 9 2-4 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 2 5 2 -
O. Isreal 4 1-2 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
R. Kurz 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Providence Friars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. McGrath * 40 2-6 2-6 3-3 2 4 0 1 3 9 7 -
R. Gomes * 39 5-18 2-3 4-5 7 2 2 1 2 16 8 -
T. Kotti * 33 4-9 0-1 1-5 6 4 0 3 1 9 12 -
J. Parmer * 20 1-5 0-4 0-0 5 0 1 1 2 2 2 -
H. Hill * 16 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 1 1 2 3 -
R. Hanke 24 6-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 12 11 -
D. White 12 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 3 2 0 1 6 8 -
R. McKiver 11 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
C. Burch 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Cross 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter