Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Providence Friars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.6% | 34.4% | -3.5 | ✗ (22.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Providence Friars +19 (98-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. McLean * | 37 | 9-20 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 10 | - |
| S. Singletary * | 27 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| E. Brown * | 26 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| J. Cain * | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| J.R. Reynolds | 32 | 4-14 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 3 | - |
| T. Bannister | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| G. Forbes | 23 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| D. Minter | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| B. Campbell | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Forkin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| H. Nacey | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Soroye | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. McGrath * | 38 | 9-9 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 30 | - |
| R. Gomes * | 32 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 18 | - |
| T. Kotti * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| D. Brewington * | 30 | 5-12 | 2-8 | 5-6 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| D. White * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Parmer | 18 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| H. Hill | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| R. Hanke | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| R. Cross | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C. Burch | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. McKiver | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter