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2005-01-26

Model Predictions

Model Boston College Eagles Providence Friars Spread Result
Elo 28.5% 71.5% -
Bradley-Terry 43.2% 56.8% -
Margin 33.9% 66.1% +3.7 (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 65.9% 34.1% -
Efficiency 94.9% 5.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.7% 21.3% -
Log Adjusted 78.8% 21.2% -

Actual: Providence Friars -3 (75-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Hinnant * 38 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 8 1 0 1 3 10 -
C. Smith * 38 9-15 0-0 3-5 6 2 2 0 4 21 12 -
J. Dudley * 38 6-12 1-3 8-9 12 6 1 0 4 21 24 -
S. Marshall * 18 4-9 0-1 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 10 3 -
N. Doornekamp * 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 2 4 -
S. Williams 27 2-3 0-0 0-2 2 1 0 8 1 4 11 -
J. Watson 26 5-11 1-3 6-8 6 2 2 0 3 17 13 -

Providence Friars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. McGrath * 38 5-10 5-8 2-2 3 4 1 0 2 17 13 -
R. Gomes * 35 5-14 1-6 2-2 9 3 2 0 0 13 13 -
T. Kotti * 34 2-10 0-0 5-5 7 3 2 2 2 9 11 -
D. Brewington * 33 7-16 2-8 0-0 3 3 1 0 3 16 4 -
H. Hill * 17 3-5 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 5 1 7 10 -
D. White 16 4-7 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 8 6 -
C. Burch 14 2-5 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 5 3 -
R. Hanke 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. McKiver 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
R. Cross 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Parmer 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter