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Princeton

Also known as: Princeton Tigers, Princeton
Program History

2012 Team Stats (7 games)

73.4
PPG
59.7
Opp
+13.7
Margin
52.3%
FG%
41.3%
3P%
74.5%
FT%
34.0
RPG
16.1
APG
12.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
66.4
Adj PPG
62.0
Adj Opp PPG
#110
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1112 (#116) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1117 (#96) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 1099 (#52) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +4.4 (#111) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +6.2 (#85) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.653 (#98) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +5.2 More โ†’ 0.644 (#128) AdjNet +5.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +5.2 More โ†’ 0.646 (#128) AdjNet +5.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.4 | AdjD 62.0 More โ†’ 0.598 (#110) AdjO 66.4 | AdjD 62.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 63.6 More โ†’ 0.622 (#70) AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 63.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.647 (#101) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.651 (#101) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 111 | GP 30 More โ†’ 1107 (#101) RD 111 | GP 30

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-12 vs Wagner Seahawks L 57 - 73
2011-11-16 @ NC State Wolfpack L 58 - 60
2011-11-19 vs Buffalo Bulls W 61 - 53
2011-11-22 vs Elon Phoenix L 55 - 56
2011-11-25 @ Bucknell Bison L 56 - 62
2011-11-26 @ Morehead State Eagles L 56 - 68
2011-11-27 vs West Alabama Tigers W 66 - 42
2011-11-30 vs Lafayette Leopards W 69 - 54
2011-12-07 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 59 - 57
2011-12-10 @ Drexel Dragons L 60 - 64
2011-12-14 @ Rider Broncs W 72 - 71
2011-12-18 @ Northeastern Huskies W 71 - 62
2011-12-22 @ Siena Saints L 59 - 63
2011-12-30 @ Florida State Seminoles W 75 - 73
2012-01-01 @ Florida A&M Rattlers W 76 - 61
2012-01-08 vs The College of New Jersey Lions W 79 - 68
2012-01-13 @ Cornell Big Red L 59 - 67
2012-01-14 @ Columbia Lions W 62 - 58
2012-01-30 @ Pennsylvania Quakers L 67 - 82
2012-02-03 @ Brown Bears W 77 - 63
2012-02-04 @ Yale Bulldogs L 54 - 58
2012-02-10 vs Dartmouth Big Green W 59 - 47
2012-02-11 vs Harvard Crimson W 70 - 62
2012-02-17 vs Columbia Lions W 77 - 66
2012-02-18 vs Cornell Big Red W 75 - 57
2012-02-24 @ Harvard Crimson L 64 - 67
2012-02-25 @ Dartmouth Big Green W 85 - 61
2012-03-02 vs Yale Bulldogs W 64 - 57
2012-03-03 vs Brown Bears W 81 - 47
2012-03-06 vs Pennsylvania Quakers W 62 - 52
2012-03-13 @ Evansville Purple Aces W 95 - 86
2012-03-19 @ Pittsburgh Panthers L 61 - 82

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ian Hummer Ian Hummer C 31 32.1 16.0 7.3 3.2 1.5 1.3 2.7 6.6 19.8 112 30 3.7 5.1 49.0 29.4 64.7 2.63 101.9 51.5
Doug Davis Doug Davis G 31 33.1 13.8 2.0 1.5 1.1 0.3 1.2 5.5 11.9 93 30 3.1 4.1 42.4 40.0 84.6 1.35 117.9 52.9
T.J. Bray T.J. Bray G 31 33.4 7.3 4.6 3.8 1.6 0.1 2.0 3.1 12.4 113 30 3.8 4.9 55.2 47.1 61.8 1.55 102.3 67.7
Mack Darrow Mack Darrow C 31 21.4 7.0 3.5 2.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 2.6 10.0 116 30 3.9 8.0 44.4 40.0 87.0 0.49 106.7 54.3
Patrick Saunders Patrick Saunders F 31 22.9 6.7 2.6 0.7 0.5 0.3 1.0 3.1 6.8 46 30 1.5 2.9 49.5 39.1 82.4 -1.53 102.0 58.9
Brendan Connolly Brendan Connolly C 31 18.7 5.8 3.6 1.0 0.4 0.8 1.3 2.3 8.1 -33 30 -1.1 -2.6 56.9 0 53.1 -3.75 104.6 56.9
Denton Koon Denton Koon F 30 17.0 5.3 3.3 0.6 0.3 0.2 1.2 2.4 6.1 82 29 2.8 7.8 57.7 0.0 69.6 0.98 98.6 57.7
Will Barrett Will Barrett F 7 18.1 4.0 3.6 1.4 0.9 0.7 1.3 3.4 5.9 -19 7 -2.7 -6.7 29.2 25.0 66.7 -2.9 52.6 37.5
Ben Hazel Ben Hazel G 17 11.8 2.1 1.6 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.4 1.5 2.8 -16 16 -1.0 -3.4 26.9 28.6 0.0 -3.69 65.1 38.5
John Comfort John Comfort F 18 6.2 2.0 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 2.3 -27 17 -1.6 -11.2 40.0 25.0 50.0 -3.95 165.4 45.0
Jimmy Sherburne Jimmy Sherburne G 26 8.5 1.7 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.7 27 25 1.1 5.1 52.2 40.0 70.0 -0.52 80.3 60.9
Bobby Garbade Bobby Garbade C 9 2.4 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 -13 6 -2.2 -40.9 75.0 0 0 -2.62 87.5 75.0
Chris Clement Chris Clement G 9 3.0 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.8 -9 6 -1.5 -16.5 50.0 33.3 0 -1.52 62.5 62.5
Daniel Edwards Daniel Edwards F 8 1.9 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.6 -14 7 -2.0 -44.1 100.0 0 0 -2.58 250.0 100.0
Brian Fabrizius Brian Fabrizius F 6 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 -13 5 -2.6 -106.1 0.0 0.0 0 -2.4 150.0 0.0
Clay Wilson Clay Wilson G 10 4.8 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.4 -20 8 -2.5 -22.7 20.0 20.0 0 -3.25 50.0 30.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG