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2012-02-11

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson Princeton Tigers Spread Result
Elo 37.6% 62.4% -
Bradley-Terry 35.8% 64.2% -
Margin 27.6% 72.4% +5.3 (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 48.4% 51.6% -
Efficiency 34.5% 65.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.7% 36.3% -
Log Adjusted 63.7% 36.3% -

Actual: Princeton Tigers +8 (70-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Wright * 36 7-11 0-0 2-2 12 1 3 1 1 16 21 -
B. Curry * 35 5-10 1-2 4-4 1 4 0 1 0 15 11 -
K. Casey * 28 5-10 1-3 1-5 8 1 0 3 1 12 13 -
O. McNally * 27 2-7 1-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 5 -2 -
L. Rivard * 26 2-7 0-3 0-0 4 3 0 0 0 4 4 -
C. Miller 24 3-6 2-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 8 1 -
C. Webster 13 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 -1 -
S. Moundou-Missi 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Travis 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 0 2 -

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Davis * 36 1-6 0-3 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 3 0 -
T.J. Bray * 35 4-7 1-3 3-6 3 4 1 0 2 12 11 -
I. Hummer * 33 6-15 1-3 7-9 9 6 1 2 1 20 22 -
P. Saunders * 29 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 4 5 -
B. Connolly * 22 5-9 0-0 1-1 6 1 0 0 4 11 5 -
M. Darrow 19 3-6 1-1 3-4 5 0 0 1 0 10 10 -
D. Koon 18 4-4 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 10 9 -
J. Sherburne 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Hazel 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter