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2012-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Princeton Tigers Evansville Purple Aces Spread Result
Elo 57.3% 42.7% -
Bradley-Terry 69.1% 30.9% -
Margin 67.5% 32.5% -4.0 (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 68.1% 31.9% -
Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 75.2% 24.8% -
Log Adjusted 75.6% 24.4% -

Actual: Evansville Purple Aces -9 (86-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Davis 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 31 33 -
T.J. Bray 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 5 2 0 1 7 17 -
I. Hummer 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 5 4 0 3 18 32 -
P. Saunders 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 1 1 2 13 20 -
M. Darrow 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 6 0 1 2 12 23 -
D. Koon 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 6 7 -
B. Connolly 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 8 13 -
J. Comfort 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Ryan 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 0 2 29 36 -
T. Taylor 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 1 3 13 18 -
N. Cox 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 0 0 1 15 22 -
K. Harris 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 5 1 3 4 8 19 -
R. Sawvell 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 7 9 -
L. Jones 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 6 9 -
D. Holmes 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 6 -
J. Moore 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 -

* = starter