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2012-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Princeton Tigers Spread Result
Elo 69.9% 30.1% -
Bradley-Terry 38.1% 61.9% -
Margin 31.9% 68.1% +4.2 (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 38.1% 61.9% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.8% 71.2% -
Log Adjusted 28.8% 71.2% -

Actual: Princeton Tigers +7 (64-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Morgan * 37 4-11 3-5 2-3 1 1 2 0 3 13 3 -
R. Willhite * 36 5-11 0-0 0-0 14 5 4 0 3 10 19 -
G. Mangano * 35 6-19 2-6 6-8 14 0 0 2 0 20 17 -
J. Pritchard * 33 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 -
J. Kreisberg * 26 4-7 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 2 10 5 -
B. Sherrod 11 1-3 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
M. Grace 10 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 2 0 0 1 2 2 -
G. Kelley 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Martin 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Townsend 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T.J. Bray * 35 3-6 1-3 3-4 5 2 3 0 3 10 11 -
I. Hummer * 33 7-11 1-1 3-4 5 2 3 4 3 18 18 -
D. Davis * 30 3-9 1-3 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 9 -2 -
B. Connolly * 22 2-4 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 2 0 6 7 -
P. Saunders * 21 2-4 1-1 0-0 3 1 2 2 0 5 9 -
D. Koon 23 1-4 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 2 4 -
M. Darrow 18 2-6 1-3 3-4 3 2 0 0 0 8 7 -
J. Sherburne 18 3-5 0-0 0-1 3 1 0 1 0 6 6 -

* = starter