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2012-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Princeton Tigers Spread Result
Elo 18.4% 81.6% +9.3 โœ“ (2.3 off)
Bradley-Terry 37.2% 62.8% - โœ“
Margin 20.3% 79.7% +7.5 โœ“ (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 42.3% 57.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 25.9% 74.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 25.7% 74.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 34.2% 65.8% - โœ“

Actual: Princeton Tigers +7 (64-57). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Morgan * 37 4-11 3-5 2-3 1 1 2 0 3 13 3 -
Reggie Willhite * 36 5-11 0-0 0-0 14 5 4 0 3 10 19 -
Greg Mangano * 35 6-19 2-6 6-8 14 0 0 2 0 20 17 -
Jesse Pritchard * 33 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 -
Jeremiah Kreisberg * 26 4-7 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 2 10 5 -
Brandon Sherrod 11 1-3 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Michael Grace 10 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 2 0 0 1 2 2 -
Greg Kelley 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Sam Martin 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Matt Townsend 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T.J. Bray * 35 3-6 1-3 3-4 5 2 3 0 3 10 11 -
Ian Hummer * 33 7-11 1-1 3-4 5 2 3 4 3 18 18 -
Douglas Davis * 30 3-9 1-3 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 9 -2 -
Brendan Connolly * 22 2-4 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 2 0 6 7 -
Patrick Saunders * 21 2-4 1-1 0-0 3 1 2 2 0 5 9 -
Denton Koon 23 1-4 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 2 4 -
Mack Darrow 18 2-6 1-3 3-4 3 2 0 0 0 8 7 -
Jimmy Sherburne 18 3-5 0-0 0-1 3 1 0 1 0 6 6 -

* = starter