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2012-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Princeton Tigers Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 45.4% 54.6% -
Bradley-Terry 50.2% 49.8% -
Margin 46.0% 54.0% +0.9 (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% -
Efficiency 59.5% 40.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.3% 69.7% -
Log Adjusted 30.3% 69.7% -

Actual: Harvard Crimson +3 (67-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Davis * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 5 0 0 2 14 17 -
T.J. Bray * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 0 1 9 15 -
P. Saunders * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 12 13 -
I. Hummer * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 5 14 14 -
B. Connolly * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 2 0 6 16 -
D. Koon 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 5 9 -
M. Darrow 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 2 8 -
J. Sherburne 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 3 -

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Curry * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 6 3 1 0 15 28 -
O. McNally * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 13 17 -
K. Wright * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 12 17 -
K. Casey * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 2 3 2 1 20 34 -
L. Rivard * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 4 -
S. Moundou-Missi 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 2 4 9 -
W. Saunders 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 1 4 -
C. Miller 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
C. Webster 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Travis 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter