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2012-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Princeton Tigers Columbia Lions Spread Result
Elo 31.6% 68.4% -
Bradley-Terry 74.6% 25.4% -
Margin 73.2% 26.8% -5.5 (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 56.1% 43.9% -
Efficiency 95.7% 4.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 81.1% 18.9% -
Log Adjusted 81.3% 18.7% -

Actual: Columbia Lions -4 (58-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T.J. Bray * 34 3-5 2-2 4-5 4 5 6 0 2 12 20 -
D. Davis * 29 3-7 1-2 3-6 1 2 1 0 0 10 7 -
I. Hummer * 25 3-10 0-2 5-6 6 0 0 1 2 11 6 -
M. Darrow * 24 3-5 2-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 10 8 -
P. Saunders * 24 2-3 2-2 1-2 1 1 2 0 1 7 7 -
J. Sherburne 19 2-4 0-2 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 6 6 -
B. Hazel 18 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -
B. Connolly 16 1-4 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 0 4 4 -
D. Koon 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Barbour * 38 7-11 2-4 9-11 3 1 0 0 3 25 15 -
M. Cisco * 30 4-6 0-0 4-4 10 1 0 1 2 12 16 -
M. Lyles * 28 1-9 0-2 2-4 1 1 0 0 0 4 -3 -
A. Rosenberg * 27 4-7 1-2 1-1 2 2 0 0 3 10 4 -
J. Daniels * 19 1-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
S. Egee 22 1-6 0-3 3-3 7 1 1 0 4 5 4 -
B. Staab 21 0-2 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 0 5 -
C. Osetkowski 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 -
N. Springwater 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Crockett 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter