🐻⬇️🏀

Penn State

Season: 2026 2024 2022
Also known as: Penn State Nittany Lions, Penn State
Program History
Coach: Mike Rhoades

2026 Team Stats (1 games)

53.0
PPG
74.0
Opp
-21.0
Margin
35.0%
FG%
7.7%
3P%
58.8%
FT%
37.0
RPG
5.0
APG
13.0
TO
80.5
Pace
76.9
AdjO
73.4
AdjD
#120
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 880 (#268) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 996 (#186) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 999 (#193) HCA +109 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 908 (#662) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +3.4 (#121) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +13.8 (#171) HCA +2.5
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → -0.7 (#372) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.296 (#287) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -38.0 More → 0.024 (#353) NetEff -38.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.9 More → 0.638 (#121) AdjNet +4.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +5.0 More → 0.642 (#119) AdjNet +5.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.9 | AdjD 73.4 More → 0.579 (#120) AdjO 76.9 | AdjD 73.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 72.8 More → 0.496 (#259) AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 72.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 76.3 More → 0.416 (#584) AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 76.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.726 (#203) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.420 (#388) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.656 (#226) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.429 (#380) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 140 | GP 31 More → 984 (#251) RD 140 | GP 31
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 929 (#377) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 @ UMBC Retrievers L 53 - 74

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Godinez J. Godinez - 1 33.0 19.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 16.0 2.0 - - - 56.2 100.0 0.0 - 57.8 59.4
T. Neal T. Neal - 1 34.0 11.0 6.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 10.0 - - - 40.0 0.0 75.0 - 46.8 40.0
J. Barlow J. Barlow - 1 26.0 9.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 10.0 12.0 - - - 40.0 0 50.0 - 41.4 40.0
Q. Wells Q. Wells - 1 20.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 -4.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 0 - 25.0 25.0
D. Campbell D. Campbell - 1 12.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 16 1.3 4.1 33.3 0.0 100.0 0.37 51.5 33.3
T. Benkovic T. Benkovic - 1 22.0 3.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 75.0 - 26.0 0.0
J. Valerio J. Valerio - 1 10.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 - - - 33.3 0 0 - 33.3 33.3
M. Persia M. Persia - 1 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 50.0 - 56.8 0
K. Carroll K. Carroll - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
C. Warren C. Warren - 1 12.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
L. Kottinger L. Kottinger - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
B. Stein B. Stein F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
F. Mattei F. Mattei - 1 8.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - 0.0 0.0
C. Palmer C. Palmer - 1 7.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Jeffery Ellison ll Jeffery Ellison ll G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
T. Loughry T. Loughry - 1 8.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -3.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
A. Myers A. Myers - 1 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -129 -7.6 -13.9 0 0 0 -0.89 0 0
Alexander Jurado Alexander Jurado G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Xavier Sanchez Xavier Sanchez G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG