Northwestern
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
70.8
PPG
61.8
Opp
+9.0
Margin
44.3%
FG%
35.8%
3P%
74.3%
FT%
31.5
RPG
14.5
APG
9.5
TO
62.4
Est. poss./game
66.0
Adj PPG
65.3
Adj Opp PPG
#106
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More β | 1164 (#86) | Preseason prior 1202 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1047, returning -32, transfers +134, freshmen +53 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More β | 1109 (#84) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More β | 1105 (#84) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More β | +3.6 (#122) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More β | +3.5 (#122) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More β | 0.780 (#82) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More β | 0.711 (#78) | AdjNet +10.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More β | 0.693 (#85) | AdjNet +8.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More β | 0.584 (#106) | AdjO 66.0 | AdjD 65.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More β | 0.581 (#107) | AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 65.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More β | 0.648 (#98) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More β | 0.647 (#98) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More β | 1161 (#72) | RD 164 | GP 4 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More β | 0.703 (#78) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Binghamton Bearcats | W | 86 - 60 |
| 2026-11-06 | vs | Stony Brook Seawolves | W | 78 - 65 |
| 2026-11-09 | vs | Boston University Terriers | W | 72 - 55 |
| 2026-11-13 | vs | DePaul Blue Demons | L | 47 - 67 |
| 2026-11-16 | vs | Columbia Lions | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-20 | @ | Virginia Tech Hokies | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jake West
|
G | 4 | 34.8 | 21.0 | 2.8 | 6.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 14.8 | 14.5 | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 49.2 | 32.1 | 94.4 | 0.15 | 62.8 | 56.8 |
LA Pratt
|
G | 4 | 34.2 | 16.2 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 13.2 | 10.2 | 19 | 3 | 6.3 | 7.2 | 45.3 | 35.0 | 83.3 | 0.73 | 55.8 | 51.9 |
Jack Karasinski
|
F | 2 | 26.0 | 16.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.5 | 10.0 | -7 | 1 | -7.0 | -11.8 | 52.9 | 57.1 | 66.7 | 0.15 | 76.3 | 76.5 |
Angelo Ciaravino
|
G | 4 | 35.5 | 10.0 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 9.5 | 10.8 | 13 | 3 | 4.3 | 4.7 | 42.1 | 0.0 | 57.1 | 0.51 | 45.3 | 42.1 |
Phoenix Gill
|
G | 4 | 19.8 | 8.5 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 13 | 3 | 4.3 | 7.8 | 55.0 | 63.6 | 55.6 | 0.13 | 71.0 | 72.5 |
Okku Federiko
|
F | 4 | 25.8 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 4.8 | 9 | 3 | 3.0 | 4.6 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 70.0 | -0.63 | 38.2 | 20.0 |
Colin Smith
|
F | 4 | 14.5 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 7 | 3 | 2.3 | 6.7 | 30.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 1.15 | 45.0 | 45.0 |
Ryan Soulis
|
F | 4 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 1 | 3 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.39 | 58.1 | 50.0 |
Dylan Williams
|
G | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Elijah Eschmeyer
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Symon Ghai
|
C | 2 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | -5 | 1 | -5.0 | -24.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.52 | 0 | 0 |
Jayden Hodge
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Aleksej KostiΔ
|
G | 3 | 9.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.7 | -0.3 | -3 | 2 | -1.5 | -6.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.02 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Luke McEldon
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Northwestern players in NBA 2026-2027, G League 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Northwestern game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Nance | 2018-22 | NBA | Milwaukee Bucks | 1 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11-11 3 pts, 1 reb, 1 ast | 1 GP, 3.0 PPG, 1.0 RPG, 1.0 APG |
| Brooks Barnhizer | 2021-25 | NBA | Oklahoma City Thunder | 8 | 5.3 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 11-10 0 pts, 1 reb, 1 ast | 8 GP, 1.2 PPG, 1.1 RPG, 0.9 APG |
| Pat Spencer | 2019-20 | NBA | Phoenix Suns | 4 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 11-09 2 pts, 2 reb, 2 ast | 4 GP, 1.2 PPG, 1.2 RPG, 1.0 APG |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-11 | Pete Nance | NBA | Milwaukee Bucks | vs Los Angeles Lakers | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-10 | Brooks Barnhizer | NBA | Oklahoma City Thunder | @ Portland Trail Blazers | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-09 | Pat Spencer | NBA | Phoenix Suns | vs San Antonio Spurs | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-08 | Pete Nance | G League Play-In | Wisconsin Herd | @ Iowa Wolves | 34 | 14 | 6 | 4 | Box |
| 2026-11-07 | Brooks Barnhizer | NBA | Oklahoma City Thunder | vs Washington Wizards | 8 | 2 | 4 | 5 | Box |
| 2026-11-06 | Pete Nance | G League Play-In | Wisconsin Herd | @ Iowa Wolves | 30 | 12 | 6 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-11-06 | Brooks Barnhizer | NBA | Oklahoma City Thunder | @ Memphis Grizzlies | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-05 | Pat Spencer | NBA | Phoenix Suns | vs Orlando Magic | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-04 | Pat Spencer | NBA | Phoenix Suns | vs Portland Trail Blazers | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
219 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Jake WestLA PrattAngelo CiaravinoPhoenix GillJack KarasinskiOkku Federiko
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 37-60 | 61.7 | 74 | LA Pratt 32% (24 pts) | Jake West 27% (20 pts) | Angelo Ciaravino 35% (8 misses) | LA Pratt 22% (5 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 10-24 | 41.7 | 20 | LA Pratt 40% (8 pts) | Jake West 30% (6 pts) | Angelo Ciaravino 29% (4 misses) | Jake West 21% (3 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 4-11 | 36.4 | 8 | Angelo Ciaravino 50% (4 pts) | Jake West 50% (4 pts) | Jake West 29% (2 misses) | LA Pratt 29% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 6-12 | 50.0 | 12 | Angelo Ciaravino 33% (4 pts) | Jake West 33% (4 pts) | Okku Federiko 50% (3 misses) | Angelo Ciaravino 17% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 6-17 | 35.3 | 12 | Jake West 50% (6 pts) | Angelo Ciaravino 33% (4 pts) | LA Pratt 45% (5 misses) | Jake West 36% (4 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 3-10 | 30.0 | 9 | Phoenix Gill 67% (6 pts) | Colin Smith 33% (3 pts) | Angelo Ciaravino 57% (4 misses) | Colin Smith 14% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 3-10 | 30.0 | 9 | Phoenix Gill 67% (6 pts) | Jake West 33% (3 pts) | Jake West 43% (3 misses) | Aleksej KostiΔ 29% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 14-32 | 43.8 | 42 | LA Pratt 36% (15 pts) | Jake West 29% (12 pts) | Jake West 28% (5 misses) | LA Pratt 28% (5 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 5-17 | 29.4 | 15 | Jack Karasinski 60% (9 pts) | LA Pratt 20% (3 pts) | Jake West 58% (7 misses) | LA Pratt 17% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 9-26 | 34.6 | 27 | Jake West 44% (12 pts) | Jack Karasinski 33% (9 pts) | Jack Karasinski 29% (5 misses) | LA Pratt 29% (5 misses) |