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Orlando Magic

Also known as: Orlando Magic
Program History

2013 Team Stats (82 games)

94.1
PPG
101.1
Opp
-7.0
Margin
44.8%
FG%
32.9%
3P%
75.5%
FT%
42.7
RPG
22.8
APG
14.0
TO
94.6
Est. poss./game
92.8
Adj PPG
99.8
Adj Opp PPG
#29
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 711 (#30) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 787 (#30) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +86 elo More โ†’ 876 (#30) HCA +86 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.3 More โ†’ -7.1 (#29) HCA +3.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -8.5 (#30) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.305 (#29) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -7.3 More โ†’ 0.301 (#29) AdjNet -7.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -7.3 More โ†’ 0.300 (#29) AdjNet -7.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 92.8 | AdjD 99.8 More โ†’ 0.345 (#29) AdjO 92.8 | AdjD 99.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 93.8 | AdjD 100.9 More โ†’ 0.343 (#30) AdjO 93.8 | AdjD 100.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.273 (#30) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.273 (#30) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 264 | GP 82 More โ†’ 811 (#30) RD 264 | GP 82

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-02 vs Denver Nuggets W 102 - 89
2012-11-04 vs Phoenix Suns W 115 - 94
2012-11-06 @ Chicago Bulls L 93 - 99
2012-11-07 @ Minnesota Timberwolves L 75 - 90
2012-11-09 vs Brooklyn Nets L 68 - 107
2012-11-11 @ Brooklyn Nets L 74 - 82
2012-11-13 vs New York Knicks L 89 - 99
2012-11-16 @ Detroit Pistons W 110 - 106
2012-11-18 @ Toronto Raptors L 86 - 97
2012-11-19 @ Atlanta Hawks L 72 - 81
2012-11-21 vs Detroit Pistons W 90 - 74
2012-11-23 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 108 - 104
2012-11-25 vs Boston Celtics L 110 - 116
2012-11-28 vs San Antonio Spurs L 89 - 110
2012-11-30 vs Brooklyn Nets L 86 - 98
2012-12-02 @ Los Angeles Lakers W 113 - 103
2012-12-03 @ Golden State Warriors W 102 - 94
2012-12-05 @ Utah Jazz L 81 - 87
2012-12-07 @ Sacramento Kings L 82 - 91
2012-12-09 @ Phoenix Suns W 98 - 90
2012-12-12 vs Atlanta Hawks L 80 - 86
2012-12-14 vs Golden State Warriors W 99 - 85
2012-12-15 @ Charlotte Hornets W 107 - 98
2012-12-17 vs Minnesota Timberwolves W 102 - 93
2012-12-19 vs Washington Wizards W 90 - 83
2012-12-21 @ Toronto Raptors L 90 - 93
2012-12-23 vs Utah Jazz L 93 - 97
2012-12-26 vs New Orleans Pelicans L 94 - 97
2012-12-28 @ Washington Wizards L 97 - 105
2012-12-29 vs Toronto Raptors L 88 - 123
2012-12-31 vs Miami Heat L 110 - 112
2013-01-02 vs Chicago Bulls L 94 - 96
2013-01-05 vs New York Knicks L 106 - 114
2013-01-07 @ Portland Trail Blazers L 119 - 125
2013-01-09 @ Denver Nuggets L 105 - 108
2013-01-12 @ LA Clippers W 104 - 101
2013-01-14 @ Washington Wizards L 91 - 120
2013-01-16 vs Indiana Pacers W 97 - 86
2013-01-18 vs Charlotte Hornets L 100 - 106
2013-01-20 vs Dallas Mavericks L 105 - 111
2013-01-22 @ Detroit Pistons L 90 - 105
2013-01-24 vs Toronto Raptors L 95 - 97
2013-01-27 vs Detroit Pistons L 102 - 104
2013-01-28 @ Brooklyn Nets L 77 - 97
2013-01-30 @ New York Knicks L 97 - 113
2013-02-01 @ Boston Celtics L 84 - 97
2013-02-02 @ Milwaukee Bucks L 98 - 107
2013-02-04 @ Philadelphia 76ers L 61 - 78
2013-02-06 vs LA Clippers L 76 - 86
2013-02-08 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 108 - 119
2013-02-10 vs Portland Trail Blazers W 110 - 104
2013-02-13 vs Atlanta Hawks L 76 - 108
2013-02-19 vs Charlotte Hornets L 92 - 105
2013-02-20 @ Dallas Mavericks L 96 - 111
2013-02-22 @ Memphis Grizzlies L 82 - 88
2013-02-23 vs Cleveland Cavaliers L 94 - 118
2013-02-26 @ Philadelphia 76ers W 98 - 84
2013-02-27 vs Sacramento Kings L 101 - 125
2013-03-01 vs Houston Rockets L 110 - 118
2013-03-03 vs Memphis Grizzlies L 82 - 108
2013-03-04 @ New Orleans Pelicans W 105 - 102
2013-03-06 @ Miami Heat L 96 - 97
2013-03-08 vs Indiana Pacers L 86 - 115
2013-03-10 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 99 - 91
2013-03-12 vs Los Angeles Lakers L 97 - 106
2013-03-15 @ Oklahoma City Thunder L 104 - 117
2013-03-17 @ Milwaukee Bucks L 109 - 115
2013-03-19 @ Indiana Pacers L 73 - 95
2013-03-20 @ New York Knicks L 94 - 106
2013-03-22 vs Oklahoma City Thunder L 89 - 97
2013-03-25 vs Miami Heat L 94 - 108
2013-03-27 @ Charlotte Hornets L 108 - 114
2013-03-29 vs Washington Wizards W 97 - 92
2013-03-30 @ Atlanta Hawks L 88 - 97
2013-04-01 @ Houston Rockets L 103 - 111
2013-04-03 @ San Antonio Spurs L 84 - 98
2013-04-05 @ Chicago Bulls L 86 - 87
2013-04-07 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 85 - 91
2013-04-10 vs Milwaukee Bucks W 113 - 103
2013-04-13 vs Boston Celtics L 88 - 120
2013-04-15 vs Chicago Bulls L 84 - 102
2013-04-17 @ Miami Heat L 93 - 105

2013 Roster

Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tobias Harris Tobias Harris G 27 36.1 17.3 8.5 2.1 0.9 1.4 1.8 14.7 13.7 - - - - 45.3 31.0 72.1 - 52.4 48.7
Arron Afflalo G 64 36.0 16.5 3.7 3.2 0.6 0.2 2.2 14.1 8.0 - - - - 43.9 30.0 85.7 - 52.7 47.8
JJ Redick JJ Redick G 50 31.5 15.1 2.4 4.4 0.6 0.1 2.1 11.6 8.8 - - - - 45.0 39.0 89.1 - 59.2 55.1
Glen Davis F 34 31.3 15.1 7.2 2.1 0.9 0.6 1.9 14.1 10.0 - - - - 44.8 0.0 71.8 - 48.3 44.8
Jameer Nelson G 56 35.3 14.7 3.7 7.4 1.3 0.1 2.8 13.9 10.5 - - - - 39.2 34.1 87.3 - 49.8 47.0
Nikola Vuฤeviฤ‡ Nikola Vuฤeviฤ‡ G 77 33.2 13.1 11.9 1.9 0.8 1.0 1.8 11.5 15.3 - - - - 51.9 0.0 68.3 - 53.4 51.9
Beno Udrih Beno Udrih G 27 27.3 10.2 2.3 6.1 0.9 0.0 2.0 8.8 8.7 - - - - 40.8 39.6 85.7 - 51.2 45.2
Maurice Harkless Maurice Harkless G 76 26.0 8.2 4.4 0.7 1.2 0.8 0.9 7.4 6.9 - - - - 46.1 27.4 57.0 - 50.4 48.9
E'Twaun Moore E'Twaun Moore G 75 22.4 7.8 2.2 2.7 0.7 0.3 1.4 8.0 4.4 - - - - 39.6 34.0 79.7 - 47.1 45.2
Andrew Nicholson G 75 16.7 7.8 3.4 0.6 0.3 0.4 1.1 6.5 5.1 - - - - 52.7 0 79.8 - 55.7 52.7
Al Harrington G 10 11.9 5.1 2.7 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.7 5.7 2.9 - - - - 35.1 26.7 75.0 - 43.4 42.1
Kyle O'Quinn G 57 11.2 4.1 3.7 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 3.5 5.2 - - - - 51.3 0.0 66.7 - 53.5 51.3
Josh McRoberts F 41 16.7 3.9 3.3 1.7 0.2 0.3 0.7 3.7 5.0 - - - - 39.2 30.9 73.3 - 47.8 44.8
DeQuan Jones G 63 12.7 3.7 1.7 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 3.5 2.3 - - - - 43.6 25.7 66.7 - 48.5 45.6
Gustavo Ayon F 42 13.6 3.6 3.3 1.4 0.3 0.3 0.9 3.0 5.1 - - - - 53.6 0 50.0 - 54.0 53.6
Doron Lamb G 24 12.4 3.2 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.4 2.8 1.9 - - - - 39.7 47.6 63.2 - 49.8 47.1
Hedo Turkoglu F 11 17.2 2.9 2.4 2.1 0.6 0.1 1.1 4.8 2.2 - - - - 26.4 4.2 50.0 - 28.8 27.4
Ish Smith Ish Smith G 36 10.5 2.4 1.3 1.6 0.4 0.2 0.8 3.2 1.8 - - - - 33.6 23.5 42.9 - 35.7 35.3

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG