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2012-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 37.1% 62.9% +2.8 ✓ (1.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 49.1% 50.9% - ✓
Margin 45.4% 54.6% +1.0 ✓ (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 51.6% 48.4% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 55.8% 44.2% - ✗
Log Adjusted 55.9% 44.1% - ✗
Points Off/Def 48.2% 51.8% - ✓

Actual: Orlando Magic +4 (108-104). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anderson Varejao * 36 7-13 0-0 5-6 17 3 1 0 3 19 24 -
Dion Waiters * 36 9-22 4-11 3-3 3 5 2 0 0 25 13 -
Alonzo Gee * 31 3-12 1-5 5-6 2 3 2 1 5 12 3 -
Jeremy Pargo * 30 7-14 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 15 3 -
Tristan Thompson * 28 3-6 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 6 4 -
Tyler Zeller 30 4-9 0-0 5-8 9 0 1 0 1 13 13 -
Daniel Gibson 25 0-3 0-2 3-3 0 6 0 0 1 3 5 -
Omri Casspi 18 4-7 2-3 1-2 1 0 2 0 1 11 6 -
CJ Miles 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Samardo Samuels 0 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Arron Afflalo * 36 7-12 4-6 1-3 1 2 1 0 4 19 7 -
Glen Davis * 35 5-14 0-0 6-7 8 2 0 0 1 16 11 -
Jameer Nelson * 34 9-18 4-8 0-0 6 6 2 0 3 22 15 -
Nikola Vučević * 32 5-11 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 2 3 10 8 -
Maurice Harkless * 15 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 6 7 -
JJ Redick 30 4-9 2-5 8-8 2 6 0 0 3 18 14 -
E'Twaun Moore 16 3-4 1-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 7 7 -
Gustavo Ayon 15 1-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 -3 -
Andrew Nicholson 12 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 2 0 1 1 4 7 -
Josh McRoberts 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -

* = starter