Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -13 (92-105). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Byron Mullens * | 41 | 8-17 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Gerald Henderson * | 36 | 8-16 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Kemba Walker * | 33 | 9-16 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 30 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Ramon Sessions | 28 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Ben Gordon | 17 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -2 | - |
| Brendan Haywood | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jeffery Taylor | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jeff Adrien | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Vučević * | 42 | 9-16 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 35 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Andrew Nicholson * | 32 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 30 | 4-11 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Maurice Harkless * | 30 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| JJ Redick | 29 | 4-14 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Kyle O'Quinn | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| E'Twaun Moore | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Gustavo Ayon | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Ish Smith | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter