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2013-04-03

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 24.1% 75.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 19.7% 80.3% - ✓
Margin 14.5% 85.5% +9.8 ✓ (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 35.1% 64.9% - ✓

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +14 (98-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Maurice Harkless * 42 8-21 0-2 2-2 9 2 0 2 2 18 8 -
Tobias Harris * 41 5-19 1-6 0-0 7 5 1 3 4 11 4 -
Beno Udrih * 39 5-11 2-3 2-2 3 8 3 0 4 14 13 -
Nikola Vučević * 35 7-13 0-0 2-2 14 2 4 2 0 16 25 -
E'Twaun Moore * 23 1-6 0-2 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 3 0 -
DeQuan Jones * 19 5-9 1-2 1-1 1 0 2 0 0 12 6 -
Doron Lamb * 16 3-4 2-2 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 8 11 -
Andrew Nicholson * 9 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
Kyle O'Quinn 11 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 0 1 0 3 -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gary Neal * 31 6-14 4-8 0-0 8 2 0 0 0 16 12 -
Nando De Colo * 28 3-9 1-3 1-2 7 6 2 1 2 8 13 -
Danny Green * 27 7-10 4-7 2-2 3 3 2 1 1 20 18 -
Patty Mills * 24 3-11 1-6 0-0 2 4 1 0 2 7 1 -
Boris Diaw * 24 2-7 0-0 0-0 7 4 0 1 3 4 6 -
Matt Bonner * 22 4-8 0-1 1-2 3 1 0 1 0 9 6 -
Stephen Jackson * 19 1-9 0-4 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 2 -6 -
Aron Baynes * 17 4-6 0-0 1-3 5 0 0 0 2 9 6 -
Tiago Splitter * 16 4-7 0-0 2-2 9 1 1 0 0 10 14 -
Tim Duncan * 13 2-5 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 2 5 2 -
Cory Joseph 12 4-4 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 8 11 -

* = starter