Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.3% | 36.7% | -3.0 | ✓ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -14 (94-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 38 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 26 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 32 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 5-5 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 27 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 23 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 20 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Norris Cole * | 20 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 15 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Juwan Howard | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Joel Anthony | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| James Jones | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurice Harkless * | 41 | 3-15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 41 | 9-20 | 5-10 | 4-5 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 23 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 40 | 8-14 | 2-3 | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| E'Twaun Moore * | 39 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 36 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Kyle O'Quinn * | 23 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| DeQuan Jones | 8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Doron Lamb | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Andrew Nicholson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter