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2013-03-30

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 43.5% 56.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 32.2% 67.8% - ✓
Margin 27.1% 72.9% +5.4 ✓ (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 40.9% 59.1% - ✓

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +9 (97-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Maurice Harkless * 42 6-10 1-3 4-8 4 2 3 1 3 17 14 -
Beno Udrih * 41 8-23 2-5 2-3 7 8 1 0 2 20 11 -
Tobias Harris * 39 5-18 1-4 0-0 10 1 2 0 2 11 4 -
Nikola Vučević * 39 8-17 0-0 1-3 15 0 2 1 3 17 15 -
DeQuan Jones * 19 3-4 0-0 2-3 3 0 1 1 0 8 9 -
E'Twaun Moore * 16 0-5 0-1 4-6 1 1 0 0 1 4 0 -
Andrew Nicholson * 11 3-5 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 0 3 9 5 -
Doron Lamb * 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
Kyle O'Quinn 22 1-4 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 2 2 4 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Smith * 40 7-14 0-2 7-9 9 2 2 3 4 21 19 -
Ivan Johnson * 34 7-14 0-0 7-8 10 1 3 1 1 21 21 -
Devin Harris * 34 5-7 2-3 5-9 4 6 1 0 2 17 19 -
Jeff Teague * 31 3-14 0-4 1-1 1 3 2 1 2 7 -2 -
Anthony Tolliver * 28 3-8 1-5 1-1 3 0 1 0 1 8 3 -
Shelvin Mack * 20 3-6 2-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 8 2 -
Kyle Korver * 18 3-7 1-3 1-1 6 2 0 0 1 8 8 -
Johan Petro * 18 3-7 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 1 1 6 8 -
Dahntay Jones * 12 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 1 3 -
Mike Scott 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter