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2012-12-15

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 14.5% 85.5% +7.8 ✗ (16.8 off)
Bradley-Terry 41.5% 58.5% - ✗
Margin 45.1% 54.9% +1.1 ✗ (10.1 off)
Pythagorean 51.7% 48.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 54.6% 45.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 54.7% 45.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 48.1% 51.9% - ✗

Actual: Charlotte Hornets -9 (98-107). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Arron Afflalo * 37 8-14 1-2 3-3 6 3 0 0 2 20 13 -
Glen Davis * 34 7-11 0-0 6-8 4 2 0 0 2 20 13 -
Nikola Vučević * 31 6-10 0-0 1-1 13 2 0 1 4 13 15 -
Jameer Nelson * 30 7-13 1-4 1-2 4 6 0 1 1 16 13 -
Maurice Harkless * 20 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 4 1 2 8 -
JJ Redick 30 4-10 3-9 3-3 4 3 0 0 1 14 10 -
E'Twaun Moore 21 3-9 0-2 0-0 2 5 1 2 1 6 6 -
Andrew Nicholson 16 4-7 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 8 4 -
Gustavo Ayon 13 3-4 0-0 2-2 4 3 0 0 2 8 9 -
Ish Smith 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bismack Biyombo * 40 4-8 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 3 2 8 11 -
Kemba Walker * 37 11-20 2-5 8-9 2 7 1 0 2 32 20 -
Byron Mullens * 36 4-11 1-3 3-6 4 1 1 1 2 12 6 -
Gerald Henderson * 34 5-15 0-0 6-6 4 4 2 0 1 16 10 -
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * 21 1-4 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 3 2 3 5 -
Ramon Sessions 25 5-10 0-1 4-6 1 2 0 0 1 14 6 -
Brendan Haywood 16 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
Jeffery Taylor 16 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Ben Gordon 12 3-6 0-2 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 6 6 -

* = starter