Northern Illinois
2013 Team Stats (2 games)
59.5
PPG
62.8
Opp
-8.8
Margin
35.4%
FG%
25.0%
3P%
70.4%
FT%
36.0
RPG
6.0
APG
10.5
TO
81.4
Pace
Model Outputs
2012-2013
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 993 (#369) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1222 (#207) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 847 (#580) | HCA +147 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +15.7 (#332) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -3.4 (#362) | HCA +3.3 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.218 (#163) | NetEff -10.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.325 (#569) | AdjO 52.2 | AdjD 60.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.296 (#444) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.278 (#481) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 765 (#572) | RD 144 | GP 30 |
2013 Schedule & Results
2013 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
A. Nader
|
F | 19 | 25.4 | 13.1 | 5.6 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 17.3 | - | - | - | 41.2 | 33.3 | 50.0 | -0.32 | 693.5 | 47.1 |
A. Springs
|
G | 18 | 19.8 | 7.7 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 8.6 | -97 | -5.1 | -11.0 | 41.0 | 33.3 | 80.0 | -0.73 | 168.7 | 47.4 |
A. Bolin
|
G | 30 | 26.7 | 7.4 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 11.9 | -118 | -3.9 | -6.2 | 44.0 | 20.0 | 75.0 | 0.19 | 412.9 | 48.0 |
D. Bowie
|
F | 30 | 20.6 | 5.9 | 3.8 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 8.8 | -144 | -4.8 | -9.3 | 38.5 | 0 | 60.0 | -0.51 | 582.2 | 38.5 |
K. Gray
|
F | 30 | 20.4 | 4.5 | 3.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 8.0 | -47 | -1.6 | -3.4 | 41.7 | 0 | 75.0 | -0.14 | 494.2 | 41.7 |
K. Gray
|
F | 30 | 15.9 | 4.1 | 2.6 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 5.9 | -47 | -1.6 | -3.4 | 30.8 | 0 | 0 | -0.14 | 476.9 | 30.8 |
T. Baker
|
G | 30 | 22.2 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 6.6 | -111 | -3.7 | -7.0 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 88.9 | -0.57 | 300.6 | 40.0 |
M. Davis
|
G | 29 | 13.8 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 5.8 | 12 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 | -0.25 | 846.3 | 58.3 |
A. Christian
|
G | 23 | 12.0 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 5.3 | -124 | -5.4 | -17.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.16 | 0 | 0 |
S. Mader
|
F | 25 | 15.4 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 5.1 | -164 | -6.8 | -16.3 | 44.4 | 33.3 | 66.7 | -1.54 | 215.6 | 47.2 |
D. Balls
|
G | 29 | 20.0 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 5.9 | -133 | -4.6 | -9.2 | 38.5 | 25.0 | 50.0 | -0.72 | 345.8 | 42.3 |
J.J. Cravatta
|
G | 28 | 11.2 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 3.8 | -43 | -1.5 | -4.5 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 0 | -0.08 | 760.0 | 30.0 |
T. Nixon
|
G | 5 | 7.6 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.6 | -2 | -0.4 | -1.2 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.1 | 62.5 | 25.0 |
B. Hayes
|
- | 10 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG