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Bowling Green Falcons 57
@
Northern Illinois Huskies 41
2013-02-06

Model Predictions

Model Bowling Green Falcons Northern Illinois Huskies Spread Result
Elo 79.0% 21.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 45.5% 54.5% - ✗
Margin 58.3% 41.7% -1.8 ✓ (14.2 off)
Efficiency 79.1% 20.9% - ✓

Actual: Northern Illinois Huskies -16 (41-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bowling Green Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Kraus * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 9 15 -
C. Orr * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 3 0 2 7 15 -
C. Black * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 4 9 -
A. Henderson * 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
J. Crawford 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 4 0 4 2 7 -
A. Calhoun 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 3 1 1 0 15 32 -
R. Holmes 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 3 0 11 19 -
J. Erger 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 2 2 -
C. Sealey 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
J. Clarke 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Rorie 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Parker 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

Northern Illinois Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Bowie * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 6 8 -
A. Nader * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 5 12 15 -
A. Bolin * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 3 7 -
D. Balls * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 2 5 -
K. Gray * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 3 9 -
J.J. Cravatta 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 5 -
M. Davis 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 3 6 -
T. Baker 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 1 0 1 -
K. Gray 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 7 -
A. Christian 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 5 -
S. Mader 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 -
B. Hayes 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter