Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Illinois Huskies | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.1% | 97.9% | +24.7 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.0% | 89.0% | +22.9 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +17 (60-43). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Northern Illinois Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Mader * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -2 | -8.5 |
| Akeem Springs * | 26 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | -9.7 |
| Aksel Bolin * | 24 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +5.0 |
| Daveon Balls * | 21 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | +3.7 |
| K. Gray * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -7.2 |
| Travon Baker | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 15 | +10.7 |
| Darrell Bowie | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1.3 |
| Mike Davis | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | -1.7 |
| K. Gray | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | +2.6 |
| Tony Nixon | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.6 |
| J.J. Cravatta | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3.1 |
| Brandon Hayes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Oliver * | 29 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | +3.4 |
| Kevin Dillard * | 25 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4 | +6.5 |
| Vee Sanford * | 24 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 8 | +4.8 |
| Josh Benson * | 22 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 4 | +2.8 |
| Dyshawn Pierre * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Khari Price | 26 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +1.6 |
| Jalen Robinson | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | +3.5 |
| Devon Scott | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -0.7 |
| Matt Derenbecker | 15 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | -6.6 |
| Alex Gavrilovic | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -9.3 |
| Mitch Asmus | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brian Vonderhaar | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
* = starter