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Northern Illinois Huskies 43
@
Dayton Flyers 60
2012-12-01

Model Predictions

Model Northern Illinois Huskies Dayton Flyers Spread Result
Elo 2.6% 97.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 14.4% 85.6% - ✓
Margin 2.0% 98.0% +21.3 ✓ (4.3 off)
Efficiency 14.9% 85.1% - ✓

Actual: Dayton Flyers +17 (60-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Illinois Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Mader * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 3 3 2 3 -
A. Springs * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 4 9 12 -
A. Bolin * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 6 9 -
D. Balls * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 1 -
K. Gray * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
T. Baker 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 4 0 5 17 22 -
D. Bowie 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 3 2 4 -
M. Davis 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 2 3 -
K. Gray 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
T. Nixon 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
J.J. Cravatta 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 3 4 -
B. Hayes 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Oliver * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 0 0 12 22 -
K. Dillard * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 3 3 3 -
V. Sanford * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 4 11 14 -
J. Benson * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 4 12 15 -
D. Pierre * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 1 0 1 -
K. Price 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 6 10 -
J. Robinson 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 3 8 11 -
D. Scott 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 0 1 1 10 -
M. Derenbecker 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 6 -
A. Gavrilovic 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 -
M. Asmus 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Vonderhaar 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter