Model Predictions
| Model | SIU Edwardsville Cougars | Northern Illinois Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northern Illinois Huskies +11 (65-54). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
SIU Edwardsville Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Davis * | 39 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | -12.4 |
| Jerome Jones * | 33 | 7-13 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 14 | -18.7 |
| Maurice Wiltz * | 30 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | -8.9 |
| Michael Messer * | 30 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +0.5 |
| Derian Shaffer * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -12.0 |
| Tim Johnson | 16 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -5 | -1.3 |
| Ray Lester | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Reggie Reed | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -6.2 |
Northern Illinois Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Mader * | 29 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | -1.2 |
| Aksel Bolin * | 29 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +19.1 |
| Travon Baker * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 9 | +8.3 |
| K. Gray * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -3.3 |
| Akeem Springs * | 17 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | +1.6 |
| Daveon Balls | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -0.4 |
| Darrell Bowie | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | +5.1 |
| J.J. Cravatta | 16 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +1.9 |
| K. Gray | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +7.6 |
| Mike Davis | 13 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Tony Nixon | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.5 |
| Brandon Hayes | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter