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Model Predictions

Model Northern Illinois Huskies Central Michigan Chippewas Spread Result
Elo 15.5% 84.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 23.9% 76.1% - โœ—
Margin 26.4% 73.6% - โœ—
Pythagorean 23.0% 77.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 10.1% 89.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 9.9% 90.1% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 26.1% 73.9% - โœ—

Actual: Central Michigan Chippewas -13 (61-74). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Northern Illinois Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Abdel Nader * 28 8-12 4-5 3-5 5 1 1 1 1 23 18 +12.2
Travon Baker * 27 2-5 2-4 4-5 2 2 1 0 2 10 8 +6.1
K. Gray * 24 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 2 +7.3
Darrell Bowie * 19 1-2 0-0 4-4 1 1 2 1 4 6 5 +2.7
Antone Christian * 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -5.7
Aksel Bolin 30 4-7 2-2 3-4 2 3 1 1 2 13 11 +20.0
Daveon Balls 24 1-2 1-2 4-7 8 4 2 0 2 7 17 +8.5
K. Gray 16 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 +4.4
Akeem Springs 11 1-4 0-2 2-2 0 0 1 1 2 4 0 +6.7
J.J. Cravatta 10 1-3 1-3 1-2 4 0 0 0 2 4 3 -3.5
Mike Davis 4 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 +4.8

Central Michigan Chippewas

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Randall * 33 4-11 2-6 2-4 1 4 2 0 7 12 1 -17.8
Olivier Mbaigoto * 23 1-6 1-2 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 5 0 +0.9
John Simons * 18 1-3 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 4 5 -17.4
Austin Keel * 16 1-4 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 3 4 -10.5
Blake Hibbitts 26 1-6 1-5 5-6 5 1 0 0 1 8 7 +4.1
Finis Craddock 25 3-5 2-3 3-8 3 1 3 0 1 11 12 -3.8
Chris Fowler 21 2-5 1-1 4-4 1 4 1 1 3 9 8 -9.6
Derrick Richardson Jr. 17 2-3 1-2 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 7 6 -17.4
Austin Stewart 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -16.4
Spencer Krannitz 6 0-4 0-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +4.1

* = starter