Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Illinois Huskies | Eastern Michigan Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Eastern Michigan Eagles +17 (42-25). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Northern Illinois Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdel Nader * | 30 | 2-12 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | -13.5 |
| Aksel Bolin * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -6.9 |
| K. Gray * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -10.3 |
| Travon Baker * | 19 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -9.9 |
| Darrell Bowie * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -8.9 |
| K. Gray | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -9.3 |
| J.J. Cravatta | 20 | 0-6 | 0-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -11.5 |
| Daveon Balls | 19 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | -3.5 |
| Akeem Springs | 17 | 0-10 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 | -14.7 |
| Mike Davis | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3.4 |
| Antone Christian | 6 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -3.8 |
Eastern Michigan Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glenn Bryant * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +11.8 |
| Daylen Harrison * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | +11.5 |
| Jalen Ross * | 25 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +12.8 |
| Da'Shonte Riley * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | +6.7 |
| Jamell Harris * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +11.3 |
| J.R. Sims | 23 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +4.0 |
| Derek Thompson | 23 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +10.2 |
| Anthony Strickland | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | +5.2 |
| Matt Balkema | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | +10.3 |
| Austin Harper | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.0 |
* = starter