🐻⬇️🏀

Northern Colorado

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Northern Colorado Bears
Program History
Coach: Steve Smiley

2022 Team Stats (5 games)

74.8
PPG
76.4
Opp
+1.6
Margin
44.9%
FG%
37.2%
3P%
68.9%
FT%
32.4
RPG
11.8
APG
12.2
TO
78.9
Pace

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1025 (#259) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1151 (#197) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 1062 (#107) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +21.0 (#210) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → +7.0 (#252) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.371 (#81) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -6.1 More → 0.341 (#169) NetEff -6.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -17.0 More → 0.124 (#105) AdjNet -17.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -17.3 More → 0.120 (#105) AdjNet -17.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.2 | AdjD 74.4 More → 0.518 (#215) AdjO 75.2 | AdjD 74.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.709 (#190) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.675 (#186) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 104 | GP 34 More → 1101 (#145) RD 104 | GP 34

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-10 @ Pacific Tigers W 67 - 65
2021-11-11 @ Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors W 81 - 78
2021-11-15 vs Colorado College Tigers W 93 - 53
2021-11-17 @ Texas Longhorns L 49 - 62
2021-11-21 @ California Baptist Lancers L 70 - 74
2021-11-23 @ San José State Spartans L 74 - 75
2021-11-27 @ Colorado State Rams L 79 - 88
2021-12-02 vs Montana State Bobcats W 77 - 75
2021-12-04 vs Montana Grizzlies W 78 - 75
2021-12-07 vs South Dakota Coyotes W 74 - 69
2021-12-15 @ Arizona Wildcats L 76 - 101
2021-12-18 @ Washington State Cougars L 56 - 82
2021-12-21 vs Northern New Mexico Eagles W 90 - 54
2022-01-01 @ Southern Utah Thunderbirds W 91 - 81
2022-01-10 @ Portland State Vikings - Preview
2022-01-20 @ Idaho Vandals W 87 - 70
2022-01-22 @ Eastern Washington Eagles W 87 - 83
2022-01-27 vs Weber State Wildcats L 76 - 85
2022-01-31 @ Portland State Vikings L 76 - 79
2022-02-03 vs Portland State Vikings L 99 - 106
2022-02-05 @ Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 74 - 71
2022-02-07 vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 82 - 60
2022-02-10 @ Sacramento State Hornets W 79 - 61
2022-02-14 vs Southern Utah Thunderbirds W 100 - 95
2022-02-17 @ Idaho State Bengals L 58 - 61
2022-02-19 @ Weber State Wildcats W 83 - 79
2022-02-21 vs Idaho State Bengals W 77 - 70
2022-02-24 vs Eastern Washington Eagles L 76 - 85
2022-02-26 vs Idaho Vandals W 98 - 94
2022-03-03 @ Montana Grizzlies W 75 - 66
2022-03-05 @ Montana State Bobcats L 85 - 87
2022-03-10 vs Eastern Washington Eagles W 68 - 67
2022-03-11 vs Portland State Vikings W 86 - 79
2022-03-12 @ Montana State Bobcats L 66 - 87
2022-03-22 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 64 - 80

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D. Kountz D. Kountz - 10 34.1 20.4 4.0 2.8 1.1 0.4 2.3 1.1 25.3 14 0.4 0.5 27.3 0.0 0 -0.4 927.3 27.3
J. Overton J. Overton F 1 32.0 17.0 5.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 26.0 188 5.7 7.8 0 0 0 1.32 0 0
M. Johnson II M. Johnson II - 34 33.6 13.9 3.2 3.7 0.6 0.0 2.2 1.0 18.1 -61 -4.7 -11.4 44.1 33.3 80.0 -0.25 613.3 50.0
L. Sorensen L. Sorensen G 2 34.0 12.5 7.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 3.5 0.0 18.5 -106 -3.8 -6.9 0 0 0 -0.34 0 0
M. Johnson II M. Johnson II G 6 33.3 12.0 1.2 3.7 0.8 0.0 2.0 10.7 5.0 -61 -4.7 -11.4 43.8 37.9 55.6 -0.25 53.0 52.3
D. Kuxhausen D. Kuxhausen G 21 27.3 11.3 2.2 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.9 3.0 11.2 88 2.3 3.4 37.1 40.0 100.0 0.52 180.9 53.2
B. Hume B. Hume G 21 28.3 11.0 5.4 1.4 0.7 0.9 2.0 2.5 15.0 126 3.3 4.5 32.7 23.3 76.2 1.16 188.6 39.4
Dalton Knecht Dalton Knecht - 19 27.3 9.2 4.1 1.2 0.5 0.7 1.6 2.9 11.0 - - - 43.6 43.3 81.8 -0.2 134.5 55.5
T. Cool T. Cool G 2 26.5 8.5 1.5 2.0 0.5 0.0 2.0 0.0 10.5 -134 -4.6 -5.9 0 0 0 0.02 0 0
K. Jongkuch K. Jongkuch - 14 27.4 7.8 9.0 1.3 0.4 0.9 2.0 2.9 14.4 56 1.5 2.2 56.1 0 41.7 0.31 105.7 56.1
M. Porter M. Porter F 2 17.0 7.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 9.5 -157 -5.2 -11.4 0 0 0 -0.96 0 0
D. Marin D. Marin G 1 27.0 6.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 8.0 83 2.6 3.3 0 0 0 0.5 0 0
T. Hudgens T. Hudgens G 2 14.5 6.0 4.5 3.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 2.0 10.5 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 150.0 50.0
S. Kinney S. Kinney - 1 19.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 - - - 50.0 33.3 0 -0.7 62.5 62.5
I. Zachem I. Zachem - 1 9.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 - - - 66.7 0.0 0 - 66.7 66.7
T. Harris T. Harris - 1 15.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 -191 -3.0 -5.1 25.0 0.0 100.0 -0.36 41.0 25.0
M. Pfeiffenberger M. Pfeiffenberger - 1 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 -1.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 100.0 - 33.8 25.0
T. Smoots T. Smoots G 6 10.7 2.0 0.8 1.5 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.5 3.7 -21 -2.1 -8.9 33.3 33.3 0 -0.44 200.0 50.0
S. Cunningham S. Cunningham - 1 14.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 0.0 - - - 16.7 0.0 0 -0.56 16.7 16.7
Z. Bloch Z. Bloch - 30 9.5 1.6 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.3 2.4 33 1.0 4.0 30.0 33.3 71.4 0.51 179.7 40.0
B. Kennedy B. Kennedy - 31 9.2 1.6 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 3.0 -54 -1.5 -6.2 40.0 20.0 100.0 -0.81 229.8 45.0
Theo Hughes Theo Hughes - 15 6.8 1.1 1.6 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 2.8 -12 -0.8 -4.4 50.0 0 0.0 -0.13 132.0 50.0
J. Melvin J. Melvin - 25 8.0 0.8 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 2.8 -47 -1.7 -8.2 100.0 0 75.0 -0.58 362.3 100.0
Greg Bowie II Greg Bowie II G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - -0.31 - -
M. Moore M. Moore G 2 6.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 67 2.6 10.7 0 0 0 0.61 0 0
C. Rounaghi C. Rounaghi - 1 16.0 0.0 7.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -0.66 0.0 0.0
E. Taylor III E. Taylor III G 1 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -91 -4.0 -13.0 0 0 0 0.47 0 0
G. Buzangu G. Buzangu C 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 -9 -0.7 -9.1 0 0 0 -0.06 0 0
A. Kim A. Kim - 1 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 -5.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
D. Phillio D. Phillio - 1 14.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG