Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.6% | 68.4% | +4.3 | ✓ (16.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats +21 (87-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Johnson II | 33 | 1-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -5 | - |
| K. Jongkuch | 29 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| D. Kuxhausen * | 34 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| M. Johnson II * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| B. Hume * | 26 | 2-12 | 2-9 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| D. Knecht | 28 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| B. Kennedy | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Z. Bloch | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Melvin | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Gazelas | 27 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 5-7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| A. Mohamed | 25 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | - |
| R. Battle | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| K. Tynes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| I. Spears | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| X. Bishop * | 38 | 5-15 | 2-6 | 7-8 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 13 | - |
| T. Patterson * | 28 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| A. Adamu * | 26 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| J. Belo * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| G. Osobor | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| P. McMahon | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Lecholat | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Fernandez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter