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2022-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Northern Colorado Bears Montana State Bobcats Spread Result
Elo 25.6% 74.4% -
Bradley-Terry 36.9% 63.1% -
Margin 31.6% 68.4% +4.3 (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 37.8% 62.2% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.1% 67.9% -
Log Adjusted 32.2% 67.8% -

Actual: Montana State Bobcats +2 (87-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Johnson II * 34 5-11 2-4 5-6 5 0 0 0 2 17 9 -
Z. Bloch 11 2-4 1-2 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 7 6 -
J. Melvin 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
B. Kennedy 5 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 4 -

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Adamu * 29 7-13 1-2 2-2 6 4 0 0 3 17 11 -
T. Patterson * 28 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 5 3 -
G. Osobor * 27 7-9 0-0 5-7 5 0 2 2 0 19 19 -
X. Bishop * 15 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 2 0 -
A. Mohamed * 14 1-3 0-2 2-2 7 1 0 0 0 4 9 -
N. Gazelas 22 7-12 2-6 3-3 0 2 1 0 0 19 10 -
R. Battle 21 4-11 2-6 2-3 4 0 0 0 1 12 4 -
K. Tynes 19 2-5 0-1 1-1 1 1 1 0 0 5 3 -
S. Lecholat 10 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
P. McMahon 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 -
B. Fernandez 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter