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2021-12-04

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies Northern Colorado Bears Spread Result
Elo 48.2% 51.8% -
Bradley-Terry 41.5% 58.5% -
Margin 37.6% 62.4% +2.8 (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% -
Efficiency 8.5% 91.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.5% 64.5% -
Log Adjusted 35.1% 64.9% -

Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +3 (78-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Whitney * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 3 0 0 9 17 -
Ro. Beasley * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 10 14 -
J. Bannan * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 11 15 -
L. Martin Jr. * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 -
M. Anderson * 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Vazquez 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
D. Carter-Hollinger Jr. 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 7 8 -
S. Blakney 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 8 12 -

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Johnson II * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 4 0 0 3 14 21 -
D. Knecht * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 2 3 9 13 -
B. Hume * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 16 19 -
D. Kuxhausen 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 8 9 -
Z. Bloch 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
B. Kennedy 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Hughes 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter