Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Northern Colorado Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.3% | 85.7% | +9.9 | ✓ (12.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +22 (82-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cone * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 29 | - |
| N. Mains * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| J. Jackson * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| K. Haymon * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| C. Towt * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| E. Richards | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| A. Aguek | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| J. Green | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Isaiah Lewis | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| M. Stark | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| W. Brown | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| T. Smoots | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Johnson II * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Z. Bloch | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| J. Melvin | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| B. Kennedy | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| T. Hughes | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter