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North Carolina Tar Heels

Also known as: North Carolina Tar Heels
Program History

2012 Team Stats (16 games)

70.6
PPG
59.3
Opp
+10.2
Margin
41.1%
FG%
32.5%
3P%
64.4%
FT%
38.9
RPG
15.5
APG
0.0
TO
72.2
Pace

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1402 (#21) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1346 (#28) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More → +38.2 (#30) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.863 (#27) -

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-12 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 109 - 44
2011-11-13 vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans W 91 - 34
2011-11-16 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans W 91 - 35
2011-11-22 vs Presbyterian Blue Hose W 61 - 38
2011-11-27 vs Kennesaw State Owls W 76 - 62
2011-11-30 @ Penn State Lady Lions L 84 - 103
2011-12-07 vs Lipscomb Bisons W 95 - 53
2011-12-11 vs East Tennessee State Bucs W 93 - 77
2011-12-29 vs Savannah State Tigers W 74 - 21
2011-12-30 vs North Carolina Central Eagles W 79 - 42
2012-01-02 vs Miami Hurricanes W 65 - 63
2012-01-05 @ Virginia Cavaliers W 78 - 73
2012-01-08 vs Maryland Terrapins L 72 - 78
2012-01-12 vs Clemson Tigers L 47 - 52
2012-01-16 @ UConn Huskies L 35 - 86
2012-01-19 @ Virginia Tech Hokies W 56 - 37
2012-01-22 @ NC State Wolfpack W 60 - 50
2012-01-25 vs Boston College Eagles W 77 - 46
2012-01-29 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 75 - 71
2012-02-03 vs Virginia Cavaliers W 64 - 56
2012-02-06 @ Duke Blue Devils L 56 - 96
2012-02-08 @ Miami Hurricanes L 37 - 61
2012-02-12 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 54 - 56
2012-02-19 vs NC State Wolfpack W 68 - 59
2012-02-24 @ Maryland Terrapins L 64 - 84
2012-02-26 vs Duke Blue Devils L 63 - 69
2012-03-02 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 53 - 54

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
H. Barnes H. Barnes - 3 26.0 20.3 4.3 2.3 1.7 0.7 1.0 13.0 15.3 - - - 53.8 42.9 88.9 - 65.0 57.7
C. Shegog C. Shegog NA 16 0.0 18.2 7.8 1.3 1.4 2.1 2.9 13.2 14.6 - - - 53.8 0 58.9 - 56.2 53.8
J. Henson J. Henson - 3 25.0 16.0 12.3 2.0 0.7 4.0 0.7 14.3 20.0 - - - 55.8 0 0.0 - 54.7 55.8
T. Zeller T. Zeller - 3 26.7 15.0 10.3 0.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 10.7 16.3 - - - 53.1 0 91.7 - 60.4 53.1
R. Bullock Jr. R. Bullock Jr. - 3 21.0 12.0 4.3 1.3 0.7 0.0 0.3 8.7 9.3 - - - 50.0 52.9 50.0 - 67.0 67.3
B. Rountree B. Rountree G 9 0.0 10.3 2.7 3.3 2.0 0.1 3.8 7.1 7.6 - - - 50.0 50.0 81.8 - 63.1 58.6
M. Buckland M. Buckland G 4 0.0 10.2 4.0 2.8 1.5 0.2 1.5 6.5 10.8 - - - 53.8 46.2 70.0 - 67.4 65.4
S. White S. White NA 12 0.0 8.2 1.8 3.2 1.1 0.0 1.9 8.0 4.3 - - - 32.3 29.7 94.4 - 47.2 42.2
L. Broomfield L. Broomfield NA 9 0.0 8.0 10.4 0.6 0.6 1.8 2.2 8.1 11.0 - - - 41.1 0 36.4 - 41.1 41.1
K. Gross K. Gross NA 16 0.0 7.8 6.4 1.8 2.1 1.2 2.6 7.3 9.4 - - - 38.5 35.0 69.2 - 46.2 41.5
C. Wood C. Wood NA 8 0.0 7.4 2.4 2.4 1.2 0.1 2.0 7.0 4.5 - - - 32.1 31.7 100.0 - 48.8 43.8
K. Marshall K. Marshall - 3 29.3 7.3 3.7 10.3 1.0 0.3 3.3 4.0 15.3 - - - 66.7 75.0 100.0 - 82.6 79.2
P.J. Hairston P.J. Hairston - 3 15.7 6.3 4.0 1.7 0.3 0.0 1.3 7.0 4.0 - - - 23.8 30.8 100.0 - 40.9 33.3
J. McAdoo J. McAdoo - 3 13.0 5.7 2.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.0 4.7 3.3 - - - 50.0 0 60.0 - 52.5 50.0
T. Ruffin-Pratt T. Ruffin-Pratt NA 6 0.0 5.5 5.7 2.2 2.2 1.2 3.0 9.3 4.3 - - - 25.0 0.0 55.6 - 27.5 25.0
D. Strickland D. Strickland - 3 20.0 5.3 0.7 1.7 1.7 0.3 2.0 4.3 3.3 - - - 53.8 0 40.0 - 52.6 53.8
J. Watts J. Watts - 3 6.7 3.0 2.7 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 1.7 4.7 - - - 80.0 0 50.0 - 76.5 80.0
D. Dupont D. Dupont - 2 2.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 - - - 50.0 50.0 50.0 - 69.4 75.0
D. Hubert D. Hubert - 2 7.5 2.0 3.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 5.0 - - - 100.0 0 0.0 - 69.4 100.0
J. Simmons J. Simmons - 3 2.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.3 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
S. Cooper S. Cooper - 2 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 - - - 0 0 50.0 - 56.8 0
P. Crouch P. Crouch - 2 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -1.5 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
S. White S. White - 3 4.3 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 - - - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG